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Ngezi Platinum vs Bikita Minerals — Premier Soccer League 2026

Ngezi Platinum
Ngezi Platinum
FT
1 – 1
HT: 0 – 1
Bikita Minerals
Bikita Minerals
11/2/2024Premier Soccer LeaguePremier Soccer League · Round 31Baobab Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Ngezi Platinum58%
×Draw27%
Bikita Minerals15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Ngezi Platinum
1.44
Bikita Minerals
0.58

Ngezi Platinum creates 148% more chances

Season form · 97 home / 34 away

creates per match

Ngezi Platinum
1.56
Bikita Minerals
0.53

allows per match

Ngezi Platinum
0.63
Bikita Minerals
1.32

finishing

Ngezi Platinum+0.00on par
Bikita Minerals+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

66%No
  • No66
  • Yes34

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Ngezi Platinum ↓

Bikita Minerals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–18%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–019%
1–111%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–18%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (19%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Ngezi Platinum or draw
85%
Ngezi Platinum or Bikita Minerals
73%
Draw or Bikita Minerals
42%

Winning margin

Ngezi Platinum wins by 2+
30%
Bikita Minerals wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Ngezi Platinum 1+ goals
76%
Ngezi Platinum 2+ goals
42%
Ngezi Platinum 3+ goals
18%
Bikita Minerals 1+ goals
44%
Bikita Minerals 2+ goals
12%
Bikita Minerals 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Ngezi Platinum (draw refunded)
80%
Bikita Minerals (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
22%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Ngezi Platinum at home — creates 1.56, concedes 0.63 · 97 matches

Bikita Minerals away — creates 0.53, concedes 1.32 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Ngezi Platinum attack 1.56 + Bikita Minerals defence 1.32 → ÷2 → 1.44

Bikita Minerals attack 0.53 + Ngezi Platinum defence 0.63 → ÷2 → 0.58

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 58%?"

Ngezi Platinum scores more
58%
level
27%
Bikita Minerals scores more
15%

Ngezi Platinum at 58% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 58% does not mean "Ngezi Platinum will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Ngezi Platinum vs Bikita Minerals

Ngezi Platinum and Bikita Minerals drew 1-1 in Premier Soccer League on November 2, 2024.

The match was played at Baobab Stadium in Ngezi.