Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
61%
Over
39%
Under
Both Score
63%
Yes
37%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
9%
1-2
8%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Newcastle
xG 1.96 · xGA 1.48
-0.07 vs xG
Manchester United
xG 1.45 · xGA 1.46
+0.13 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Newcastle vs Manchester United — Premier League 2026
Premier League·2026📍St. James' Park- Date
- Mar 4, 2026, 8:15 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 29
- Referee
- P. Bankes
- Venue
- St. James' Park, Newcastle
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Newcastle
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54067%
- Under 2.52033%
Both teams scored
- Yes4168%
- No1932%
Manchester United
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52865%
- Under 2.51535%
Both teams scored
- Yes3172%
- No1228%
Match Events
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Brentford
Brighton
Chelsea
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Everton
Fulham
Hull City
Ipswich
Leeds
Liverpool
Manchester City
Manchester United
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
TottenhamIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Newcastle host Manchester United on Wednesday, 4 March 2026 at 20:15. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Newcastle 2 – 1 Manchester United
Newcastle beat Manchester United 2-1 in Premier League on March 4, 2026.
Goals: A. Gordon (45' pen), Casemiro (45'), W. Osula (90').
Manchester United controlled possession (55%) and registered 14 shots to 12.
The match was played at St. James' Park in Newcastle.