Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 19+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
63%
Over
37%
Under
Both Score
63%
Yes
37%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10%
2-1
9%
1-0
7%
xG Profile (19 home / 19 away matches)
Newcastle
xG 1.96 · xGA 1.48
-0.07 vs xG
Leeds
xG 1.3 · xGA 1.76
-0.25 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Newcastle vs Leeds — Premier League 2026
- Date
- Jan 7, 2026, 8:15 PM
- Tournament
- Premier League · Premier League · Regular Season - 21
- Referee
- M. Salisbury
- Venue
- St. James' Park, Newcastle
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Newcastle
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.54067%
- Under 2.52033%
Both teams scored
- Yes4168%
- No1932%
Leeds
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52254%
- Under 2.51946%
Both teams scored
- Yes2356%
- No1844%
Match Events

If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Newcastle host Leeds on Wednesday, 7 January 2026 at 20:15. The match is part of the Premier League 2026/2027 season.
Premier League: Newcastle 4–3 Leeds
Newcastle beat Leeds 4-3 in Premier League on January 7, 2026.
Goals: B. Aaronson (32', 79'), H. Barnes (36', 90'), D. Calvert-Lewin (45' pen), Joelinton (54'), Bruno Guimaraes (90' pen).
Newcastle controlled possession (63%) and registered 18 shots to 14.
The match was played at St. James' Park in Newcastle.
























