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Neudrossenfeld vs Eintracht Münchberg — Oberliga - Bayern Nord 2026

Neudrossenfeld
Neudrossenfeld
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Eintracht Münchberg
Eintracht Münchberg
7/19/2024Oberliga - Bayern NordOberliga - Bayern Nord · Bayern Nord - 1Sportanlage Neudrossenfeld Platz 1

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 17+ matches

Neudrossenfeld60%
×Draw20%
Eintracht Münchberg20%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Neudrossenfeld
2.14
Eintracht Münchberg
1.14

Neudrossenfeld creates 88% more chances

Season form · 51 home / 17 away

creates per match

Neudrossenfeld
1.57
Eintracht Münchberg
0.94

allows per match

Neudrossenfeld
1.33
Eintracht Münchberg
2.71

finishing

Neudrossenfeld+0.00on par
Eintracht Münchberg+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Over
  • Over63
  • Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

60%Yes
  • Yes60
  • No40

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Neudrossenfeld ↓

Eintracht Münchberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–04%
0–14%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–19%
1–25%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–09%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–06%
3–17%
3–24%
3–32%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–14%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (10%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
96%4%1.5
84%16%2.5
63%37%3.5
41%59%4.5
23%77%

Double chance

Neudrossenfeld or draw
80%
Neudrossenfeld or Eintracht Münchberg
80%
Draw or Eintracht Münchberg
40%

Winning margin

Neudrossenfeld wins by 2+
37%
Eintracht Münchberg wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Neudrossenfeld 1+ goals
88%
Neudrossenfeld 2+ goals
63%
Neudrossenfeld 3+ goals
36%
Eintracht Münchberg 1+ goals
68%
Eintracht Münchberg 2+ goals
32%
Eintracht Münchberg 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Neudrossenfeld (draw refunded)
75%
Eintracht Münchberg (draw refunded)
25%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
51%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Neudrossenfeld at home — creates 1.57, concedes 1.33 · 51 matches

Eintracht Münchberg away — creates 0.94, concedes 2.71 · 17 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Neudrossenfeld attack 1.57 + Eintracht Münchberg defence 2.71 → ÷2 → 2.14

Eintracht Münchberg attack 0.94 + Neudrossenfeld defence 1.33 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Neudrossenfeld scores more
60%
level
20%
Eintracht Münchberg scores more
20%

Neudrossenfeld at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Neudrossenfeld will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Neudrossenfeld vs Eintracht Münchberg

Neudrossenfeld and Eintracht Münchberg drew 0-0 in Oberliga - Bayern Nord on July 19, 2024.

The match was played at Sportanlage Neudrossenfeld Platz 1 in Neudrossenfeld.