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Neudrossenfeld vs Eintracht Bamberg — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Neudrossenfeld
Neudrossenfeld
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Eintracht Bamberg
Eintracht Bamberg
Unknown 30'
Unknown 13'
7/16/2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Sportplatz Hollfeld

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Neudrossenfeld48%
×Draw21%
Eintracht Bamberg31%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Neudrossenfeld
2.08
Eintracht Bamberg
1.63

Neudrossenfeld creates 28% more chances

Season form · 3 home / 4 away

creates per match

Neudrossenfeld
1.67
Eintracht Bamberg
2.25

allows per match

Neudrossenfeld
1.00
Eintracht Bamberg
2.50

finishing

Neudrossenfeld+0.00on par
Eintracht Bamberg+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Neudrossenfeld ↓

Eintracht Bamberg →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–02%
0–14%
0–23%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–18%
1–27%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–19%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–04%
3–16%
3–25%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–02%
4–13%
4–23%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 92% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
98%2%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
50%50%4.5
31%69%

Double chance

Neudrossenfeld or draw
69%
Neudrossenfeld or Eintracht Bamberg
79%
Draw or Eintracht Bamberg
52%

Winning margin

Neudrossenfeld wins by 2+
28%
Eintracht Bamberg wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Neudrossenfeld 1+ goals
87%
Neudrossenfeld 2+ goals
61%
Neudrossenfeld 3+ goals
34%
Eintracht Bamberg 1+ goals
80%
Eintracht Bamberg 2+ goals
48%
Eintracht Bamberg 3+ goals
22%

Draw no bet

Neudrossenfeld (draw refunded)
61%
Eintracht Bamberg (draw refunded)
39%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
62%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Neudrossenfeld at home — creates 1.67, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

Eintracht Bamberg away — creates 2.25, concedes 2.50 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Neudrossenfeld attack 1.67 + Eintracht Bamberg defence 2.50 → ÷2 → 2.08

Eintracht Bamberg attack 2.25 + Neudrossenfeld defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.63

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 48%?"

Neudrossenfeld scores more
48%
level
21%
Eintracht Bamberg scores more
31%

Neudrossenfeld at 48% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 48% does not mean "Neudrossenfeld will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'
30'

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Neudrossenfeld vs Eintracht Bamberg

Neudrossenfeld and Eintracht Bamberg drew 1-1 in Friendlies Clubs on July 16, 2023.

Goals: ? (13', 30').

The match was played at Sportplatz Hollfeld in Hollfeld.