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Neratovice-Byškovice vs Králův Dvůr — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Neratovice-Byškovice
Neratovice-Byškovice
CANC
17:30
Králův Dvůr
Králův Dvůr
2/16/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 4

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Neratovice-Byškovice43%
×Draw19%
Králův Dvůr39%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Neratovice-Byškovice
2.69
Králův Dvůr
2.56

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 4 home / 8 away

creates per match

Neratovice-Byškovice
1.75
Králův Dvůr
2.88

allows per match

Neratovice-Byškovice
2.25
Králův Dvůr
3.63

finishing

Neratovice-Byškovice+0.00on par
Králův Dvůr+0.00on par

Total goals

89%Over
  • Over89
  • Under11

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

86%Yes
  • Yes86
  • No14

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Neratovice-Byškovice ↓

Králův Dvůr →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–11%
0–22%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–01%
1–14%
1–25%
1–34%
1–43%
2
2–02%
2–15%
2–26%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–02%
3–15%
3–26%
3–35%
3–43%
4
4–01%
4–13%
4–24%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (6%) · grid covers 79% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
97%3%2.5
89%11%3.5
76%24%4.5
59%41%

Double chance

Neratovice-Byškovice or draw
61%
Neratovice-Byškovice or Králův Dvůr
81%
Draw or Králův Dvůr
57%

Winning margin

Neratovice-Byškovice wins by 2+
26%
Králův Dvůr wins by 2+
22%

Team goals

Neratovice-Byškovice 1+ goals
93%
Neratovice-Byškovice 2+ goals
74%
Neratovice-Byškovice 3+ goals
49%
Králův Dvůr 1+ goals
92%
Králův Dvůr 2+ goals
72%
Králův Dvůr 3+ goals
46%

Draw no bet

Neratovice-Byškovice (draw refunded)
53%
Králův Dvůr (draw refunded)
47%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
82%
Both score & under 3
4%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Neratovice-Byškovice at home — creates 1.75, concedes 2.25 · 4 matches

Králův Dvůr away — creates 2.88, concedes 3.63 · 8 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Neratovice-Byškovice attack 1.75 + Králův Dvůr defence 3.63 → ÷2 → 2.69

Králův Dvůr attack 2.88 + Neratovice-Byškovice defence 2.25 → ÷2 → 2.56

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Neratovice-Byškovice scores more
43%
level
19%
Králův Dvůr scores more
39%

Neratovice-Byškovice at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Neratovice-Byškovice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Neratovice-Byškovice face Králův Dvůr (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Neratovice-Byškovice hosting Králův Dvůr. Match starts February 16, 2024. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.