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Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 11+ matches

Nashville 59%Draw 20%21% Minnesota
2.23Expected xG1.27

Over / Under 2.5

68%

Over

32%

Under

Both Score

64%

Yes

36%

No

Most Likely Scores

2-1

10%

1-1

9%

2-0

8%

xG Profile (11 home / 13 away matches)

Nashville SC

xG 2.55 · xGA 0.91

+0 vs xG

Minnesota United FC

xG 1.62 · xGA 1.92

+0 vs xG

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC — Major League Soccer 2026

Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer·2026📍Geodis Park
Nashville SC
Nashville SC
FT
3 – 1
HT: 2 – 1
Minnesota United FC
Minnesota United FC
S. Surridge 47', 26'
C. Espinoza 33'
N. Triantis 35'
Date
Mar 8, 2026, 1:30 AM
Tournament
Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 3
Referee
P. Lauziere
Venue
Geodis Park

Season form

Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.

Nashville SC

Over / Under 2.5

52%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51452%
  • Under 2.51348%

Both teams scored

44%BTTS
  • Yes1244%
  • No1556%

Minnesota United FC

Over / Under 2.5

56%over 2.5
  • Over 2.51856%
  • Under 2.51444%

Both teams scored

59%BTTS
  • Yes1959%
  • No1341%

Player of the match

9
S. SurridgeNashville SCNashville SC · F
8.3

Match Events

26'
S. Surridge↳ P. Yazbek
33'
C. Espinoza
35'
N. Triantis↳ J. Pereyra
47'
S. Surridge↳ P. Yazbek
62'
J. Bauer← D. Lovitz
66'
J. Gressel← B. Hlongwane
75'
K. Duncan← A. Markanich
75'
M. Dieng← N. Triantis
78'
R. Baker-Whiting← A. Najar
78'
W. Madrigal← C. Espinoza
81'
J. Palacios
86'
A. Qasem← H. Mukhtar
86'
W. Pacius← S. Surridge
86'
D. Taylor← D. Padelford
86'
O. Gene← W. Trapp
89'
J. Gressel

Possession

58%Nashville

Shots

15Nashville

Pass accuracy

51%Nashville

Statistics

NashvilleMinnesota
Overview
58%Possession42%
15Total Shots14
1.75Expected Goals (xG)0.92
5Corners2
11Fouls10
Shots
15Total Shots14
6On Target3
4Off Target6
5Blocked5
10Inside Box7
5Outside Box7
Passing
58%Possession42%
572Total Passes427
497Accurate Passes355
87%Pass Accuracy83%
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
-0.58Goals Prevented-0.58
Discipline
11Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
1Offsides0

Match Recap: Nashville SC vs Minnesota United FC

Nashville SC beat Minnesota United FC 3-1 in Major League Soccer on March 8, 2026.

Goals: S. Surridge (26', 47'), C. Espinoza (33'), N. Triantis (35').

Nashville SC controlled possession (58%) and registered 15 shots to 14.

The match was played at Geodis Park.