Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nania vs Inter Allies — Division One League 2025

Nania
Nania
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Inter Allies
Inter Allies
12/27/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 13

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Nania42%
×Draw33%
Inter Allies25%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nania
1.04
Inter Allies
0.73

Nania creates 42% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Nania
0.80
Inter Allies
0.87

allows per match

Nania
0.60
Inter Allies
1.27

finishing

Nania+0.00on par
Inter Allies+0.00on par

Total goals

74%Under
  • Under74
  • Over26

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

67%No
  • No67
  • Yes33

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nania ↓

Inter Allies →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–017%
0–112%
0–25%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–018%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–09%
2–17%
2–22%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–03%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (18%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
83%17%1.5
53%47%2.5
26%74%3.5
10%90%4.5
3%97%

Double chance

Nania or draw
75%
Nania or Inter Allies
67%
Draw or Inter Allies
58%

Winning margin

Nania wins by 2+
17%
Inter Allies wins by 2+
7%

Team goals

Nania 1+ goals
65%
Nania 2+ goals
28%
Nania 3+ goals
9%
Inter Allies 1+ goals
52%
Inter Allies 2+ goals
17%
Inter Allies 3+ goals
4%

Draw no bet

Nania (draw refunded)
63%
Inter Allies (draw refunded)
37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
21%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nania at home — creates 0.80, concedes 0.60 · 15 matches

Inter Allies away — creates 0.87, concedes 1.27 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nania attack 0.80 + Inter Allies defence 1.27 → ÷2 → 1.04

Inter Allies attack 0.87 + Nania defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.73

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Nania scores more
42%
level
33%
Inter Allies scores more
25%

Nania at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Nania will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Nania vs Inter Allies

Nania and Inter Allies drew 0-0 in Division One League on December 27, 2025.