Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nania vs Attram de Visser — Division One League 2025

Nania
Nania
FT
2 – 1
HT: 1 – 0
Attram de Visser
Attram de Visser
10/4/2025Division One LeagueDivision One League · Round 2

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 15+ matches

Nania26%
×Draw31%
Attram de Visser44%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nania
0.80
Attram de Visser
1.14

Attram de Visser creates 42% more chances

Season form · 15 home / 15 away

creates per match

Nania
0.80
Attram de Visser
1.67

allows per match

Nania
0.60
Attram de Visser
0.80

finishing

Nania+0.00on par
Attram de Visser+0.00on par

Total goals

69%Under
  • Under69
  • Over31

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nania ↓

Attram de Visser →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–014%
0–116%
0–29%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–15%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–01%
3–11%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–1 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
86%14%1.5
58%42%2.5
31%69%3.5
13%87%4.5
5%95%

Double chance

Nania or draw
56%
Nania or Attram de Visser
69%
Draw or Attram de Visser
74%

Winning margin

Nania wins by 2+
8%
Attram de Visser wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Nania 1+ goals
55%
Nania 2+ goals
19%
Nania 3+ goals
5%
Attram de Visser 1+ goals
68%
Attram de Visser 2+ goals
32%
Attram de Visser 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Nania (draw refunded)
37%
Attram de Visser (draw refunded)
63%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
24%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nania at home — creates 0.80, concedes 0.60 · 15 matches

Attram de Visser away — creates 1.67, concedes 0.80 · 15 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nania attack 0.80 + Attram de Visser defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.80

Attram de Visser attack 1.67 + Nania defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 1.14

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Nania scores more
26%
level
31%
Attram de Visser scores more
44%

Attram de Visser at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Attram de Visser will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Division One League: Nania 2–1 Attram de Visser

Nania beat Attram de Visser 2-1 in Division One League on October 4, 2025.