Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Pattani — Thai League 2 2018

Nakhon Si Thammarat
Nakhon Si Thammarat
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Pattani
Pattani
4/25/2026Thai League 2Thai League 2 · Round 34Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 19+ matches

Nakhon Si Thammarat46%
×Draw25%
Pattani29%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Nakhon Si Thammarat
1.58
Pattani
1.19

Nakhon Si Thammarat creates 33% more chances

Season form · 70 home / 19 away

creates per match

Nakhon Si Thammarat
1.80
Pattani
1.32

allows per match

Nakhon Si Thammarat
1.06
Pattani
1.37

finishing

Nakhon Si Thammarat+0.00on par
Pattani+0.00on par

Total goals

52%Over
  • Over52
  • Under48

Close call

Both teams score

55%Yes
  • Yes55
  • No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Nakhon Si Thammarat ↓

Pattani →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–112%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–04%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
76%24%2.5
52%48%3.5
30%70%4.5
15%85%

Double chance

Nakhon Si Thammarat or draw
71%
Nakhon Si Thammarat or Pattani
75%
Draw or Pattani
54%

Winning margin

Nakhon Si Thammarat wins by 2+
24%
Pattani wins by 2+
12%

Team goals

Nakhon Si Thammarat 1+ goals
79%
Nakhon Si Thammarat 2+ goals
47%
Nakhon Si Thammarat 3+ goals
21%
Pattani 1+ goals
70%
Pattani 2+ goals
33%
Pattani 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Nakhon Si Thammarat (draw refunded)
62%
Pattani (draw refunded)
38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
43%
Both score & under 3
12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Nakhon Si Thammarat at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.06 · 70 matches

Pattani away — creates 1.32, concedes 1.37 · 19 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Nakhon Si Thammarat attack 1.80 + Pattani defence 1.37 → ÷2 → 1.58

Pattani attack 1.32 + Nakhon Si Thammarat defence 1.06 → ÷2 → 1.19

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Nakhon Si Thammarat scores more
46%
level
25%
Pattani scores more
29%

Nakhon Si Thammarat at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Nakhon Si Thammarat will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Pattani

Nakhon Si Thammarat and Pattani drew 0-0 in Thai League 2 on April 25, 2026.

The match was played at Nakhon Si Thammarat Stadium.