Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 7+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
41%
Over
59%
Under
Both Score
47%
Yes
53%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
0-1
13%
1-0
10%
xG Profile (10 home / 7 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.09 · xGA 1.2
+0.41 vs xG
Sporting CP
xG 1.38 · xGA 0.97
+0.48 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Sporting CP — Primeira Liga 2026
Primeira Liga·2026📍Estadio da Madeira- Date
- Aug 23, 2025, 5:00 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 3
- Referee
- B. J. Costa
- Venue
- Estadio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52146%
- Under 2.52554%
Both teams scored
- Yes2043%
- No2657%
Sporting CP
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53763%
- Under 2.52237%
Both teams scored
- Yes3458%
- No2542%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Nacional host Sporting CP on Saturday, 23 August 2025 at 17:00. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Nacional 1 – 4 Sporting CP
Sporting CP beat Nacional 4-1 in Primeira Liga on August 23, 2025.
The match was played at Estadio da Madeira in Funchal.