Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 9+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
45%
Over
55%
Under
Both Score
50%
Yes
50%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
xG Profile (9 home / 14 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.11 · xGA 1.3
+0.33 vs xG
FC Porto
xG 1.54 · xGA 1.03
-0.04 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Feb 15, 2026, 3:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22
- Referee
- J. Bessa
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51543%
- Under 2.52057%
Both teams scored
- Yes1749%
- No1851%
FC Porto
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52753%
- Under 2.52447%
Both teams scored
- Yes2345%
- No2855%
Player of the match
Match Events
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Arouca
Guimaraes
Estoril
Alverca
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Nacional
Estrela
Casa Pia
Tondela
AVSIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Nacional host FC Porto on Sunday, 15 February 2026 at 15:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Nacional vs FC Porto
FC Porto beat Nacional 1-0 in Primeira Liga on February 15, 2026.
Goals: J. Bednarek (60').
FC Porto controlled possession (53%) and registered 8 shots to 9.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.