Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 8+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
47%
Over
53%
Under
Both Score
51%
Yes
49%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
11%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (8 home / 13 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.06 · xGA 1.33
+0.69 vs xG
Estrela
xG 0.97 · xGA 1.73
+0.26 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Estrela — Primeira Liga 2025
Primeira Liga·2025📍Estádio da Madeira- Date
- Apr 4, 2026, 2:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
- Referee
- J. Goncalves
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51745%
- Under 2.52155%
Both teams scored
- Yes1847%
- No2053%
Estrela
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52050%
- Under 2.52050%
Both teams scored
- Yes1845%
- No2255%
Player of the match
Match Events
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Nacional host Estrela on Saturday, 4 April 2026 at 14:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season.
Nacional 2 – 0 Estrela
Nacional beat Estrela 2-0 in Primeira Liga on April 4, 2026.
Goals: J. Ramirez (2'), Paulinho Boia (71').
Estrela controlled possession (51%) and registered 11 shots to 16.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.