Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 9+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
45%
Over
55%
Under
Both Score
50%
Yes
50%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
11%
0-1
10%
xG Profile (9 home / 14 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.01 · xGA 1.3
+0.55 vs xG
Estrela
xG 0.98 · xGA 1.65
+0.23 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Apr 6, 2025, 5:00 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 28
- Referee
- Hélder Malheiro
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51741%
- Under 2.52459%
Both teams scored
- Yes1844%
- No2356%
Estrela
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52248%
- Under 2.52452%
Both teams scored
- Yes2146%
- No2554%
Player of the match
Match Events
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Nacional host Estrela on Sunday, 6 April 2025 at 17:00. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2025/2026 season.
Primeira Liga: Nacional 0–1 Estrela
Estrela beat Nacional 1-0 in Primeira Liga on April 6, 2025.
Goals: Jovane Cabral (81').
Nacional controlled possession (61%) and registered 19 shots to 12.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Ilha da Madeira.