Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 7+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
46%
Over
54%
Under
Both Score
51%
Yes
49%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
11%
0-1
9%
xG Profile (10 home / 7 away matches)
Nacional
xG 1.09 · xGA 1.2
+0.41 vs xG
Estoril
xG 1.07 · xGA 1.69
+0.07 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Nacional vs Estoril — Primeira Liga 2026
Primeira Liga·2026📍Estádio da Madeira- Date
- Mar 15, 2026, 3:30 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 26
- Referee
- M. Fonseca
- Venue
- Estádio da Madeira, Funchal
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Nacional
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52146%
- Under 2.52554%
Both teams scored
- Yes2043%
- No2657%
Estoril
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53363%
- Under 2.51937%
Both teams scored
- Yes3058%
- No2242%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Nacional host Estoril on Sunday, 15 March 2026 at 15:30. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Nacional 0 – 1 Estoril
Estoril beat Nacional 1-0 in Primeira Liga on March 15, 2026.
The match was played at Estádio da Madeira in Funchal.