Na God vs Golden Warriors — Division One League 2025
Division One League · FinalMatch Prediction
Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 16+ matches
Na God44%
Golden Warriors30%✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.
Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct
Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Expected goals in this match
What is xG?
Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.
The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.
Na God creates 27% more chances
Season form · 16 home / 16 away
creates per match
allows per match
finishing
Total goals
- Under51
- Over49
Close call
Both teams score
- Yes53
- No47
Both teams likely to score
Score probability
Probability of each scoreline, %
Na God ↓
Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines
More markets
Total goals
Double chance
Winning margin
Team goals
Draw no bet
Combos
Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.
How is this calculated?
Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.
Recent form of each side
Na God at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.13 · 16 matches
Golden Warriors away — creates 1.19, concedes 1.44 · 16 matches
⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.
Expected goals for this match
Na God attack 1.50 + Golden Warriors defence 1.44 → ÷2 → 1.47
Golden Warriors attack 1.19 + Na God defence 1.13 → ÷2 → 1.16
Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.
Chance of every scoreline
From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.
The answer to "why 44%?"
Na God at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.
What the model can't see
It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:
- injuries & suspensions
- the matchday lineup
- motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
- weather & pitch condition
- in-game coaching decisions
So 44% does not mean "Na God will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
Port City
Ashanti Gold
Debibi United
Koforidua
Tamale City
Attram de Visser
Ebusua Dwarfs
Nsuopun Fidelity
Real Tamale
Sefwi All Stars
PAC Academy
Rospak
KAC Soccer
WAFA
VC Warriors
Dormaa
Mighty Royals
Future Stars
True Democracy
Wa Power
Home Stars
Techiman Liberty
Great Olympics
King Faisal
Skyy
Hakla SC
Nania
Ebony FC
Inter Allies
Golden Kicks
Soccer Intellectuals
Okwawu
Accra Lions
New Edubiase
Elmina SharksGolden Warriors
Sankara Nationals
Police National
Yapei
Bolga AllStarsNa God
Northern City
Eleven Wise
Berekum Arsenal
TF Exponential
UCC Youngsters
Legon Cities
Great AmbitionsIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Na God host Golden Warriors on Saturday, 30 May 2026 at 10:00. The match is part of the Division One League 2025/2026 season.
Division One League: Na God 1–2 Golden Warriors
Golden Warriors beat Na God 2-1 in Division One League on May 30, 2026.