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Myanmar vs Oman — Friendlies 2026

Myanmar
Myanmar
CANC
00:00
Oman
Oman
2/14/2020FriendliesFriendlies · Friendlies 3Thuwanna YTC Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Myanmar32%
×Draw28%
Oman40%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Myanmar
1.08
Oman
1.25

Oman creates 16% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 12 away

creates per match

Myanmar
1.50
Oman
1.50

allows per match

Myanmar
1.00
Oman
0.67

finishing

Myanmar+0.00on par
Oman+0.00on par

Total goals

59%Under
  • Under59
  • Over41

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Myanmar ↓

Oman →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–28%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–011%
1–113%
1–28%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–13%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
41%59%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Myanmar or draw
60%
Myanmar or Oman
72%
Draw or Oman
68%

Winning margin

Myanmar wins by 2+
12%
Oman wins by 2+
18%

Team goals

Myanmar 1+ goals
66%
Myanmar 2+ goals
29%
Myanmar 3+ goals
10%
Oman 1+ goals
71%
Oman 2+ goals
36%
Oman 3+ goals
13%

Draw no bet

Myanmar (draw refunded)
44%
Oman (draw refunded)
56%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Myanmar at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

Oman away — creates 1.50, concedes 0.67 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Myanmar attack 1.50 + Oman defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 1.08

Oman attack 1.50 + Myanmar defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.25

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 40%?"

Myanmar scores more
32%
level
28%
Oman scores more
40%

Oman at 40% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 40% does not mean "Oman will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Myanmar face Oman (Friendlies)

Friendlies returns with Myanmar hosting Oman. Match starts February 14, 2020. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Myanmar host Oman at Thuwanna YTC Stadium.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.