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Myanmar vs Chinese Taipei — Friendlies 2026

Myanmar
Myanmar
FT
0 – 0
Chinese Taipei
Chinese Taipei
3/19/2019FriendliesFriendlies · Friendlies 3Thuwanna YTC Stadium (Yangon)

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Myanmar49%
×Draw24%
Chinese Taipei27%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Myanmar
1.67
Chinese Taipei
1.17

Myanmar creates 43% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 6 away

creates per match

Myanmar
1.50
Chinese Taipei
1.33

allows per match

Myanmar
1.00
Chinese Taipei
1.83

finishing

Myanmar+0.00on par
Chinese Taipei+0.00on par

Total goals

54%Over
  • Over54
  • Under46

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

56%Yes
  • Yes56
  • No44

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Myanmar ↓

Chinese Taipei →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–06%
0–17%
0–24%
0–32%
0–40%
1
1–010%
1–111%
1–27%
1–33%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–110%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–05%
3–15%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
94%6%1.5
78%22%2.5
54%46%3.5
32%68%4.5
16%84%

Double chance

Myanmar or draw
73%
Myanmar or Chinese Taipei
76%
Draw or Chinese Taipei
51%

Winning margin

Myanmar wins by 2+
26%
Chinese Taipei wins by 2+
11%

Team goals

Myanmar 1+ goals
81%
Myanmar 2+ goals
50%
Myanmar 3+ goals
23%
Chinese Taipei 1+ goals
69%
Chinese Taipei 2+ goals
33%
Chinese Taipei 3+ goals
11%

Draw no bet

Myanmar (draw refunded)
65%
Chinese Taipei (draw refunded)
35%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
45%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Myanmar at home — creates 1.50, concedes 1.00 · 10 matches

Chinese Taipei away — creates 1.33, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Myanmar attack 1.50 + Chinese Taipei defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.67

Chinese Taipei attack 1.33 + Myanmar defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Myanmar scores more
49%
level
24%
Chinese Taipei scores more
27%

Myanmar at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Myanmar will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Myanmar
Chinese
A. Hey
Manager: A. Hey
Vom Ca-Nhum
Manager: Vom Ca-Nhum

Friendlies: Myanmar 0–0 Chinese Taipei

Myanmar and Chinese Taipei drew 0-0 in Friendlies on March 19, 2019.

The match was played at Thuwanna YTC Stadium (Yangon).