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Muscelul Câmpulung Elite vs FCSB — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
CANC
13:00
FCSB
FCSB
1/30/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite28%
×Draw19%
FCSB52%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1.81
FCSB
2.48

FCSB creates 37% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 6 away

creates per match

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1.80
FCSB
2.17

allows per match

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.80
FCSB
1.83

finishing

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite+0.00on par
FCSB+0.00on par

Total goals

80%Over
  • Over80
  • Under20

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

76%Yes
  • Yes76
  • No24

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite ↓

FCSB →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–13%
0–24%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–03%
1–16%
1–28%
1–36%
1–44%
2
2–02%
2–16%
2–27%
2–36%
2–44%
3
3–01%
3–13%
3–24%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–32%
4–41%

Most likely 1–2 (8%) · grid covers 87% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
93%7%2.5
80%20%3.5
61%39%4.5
42%58%

Double chance

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite or draw
48%
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite or FCSB
81%
Draw or FCSB
72%

Winning margin

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite wins by 2+
14%
FCSB wins by 2+
33%

Team goals

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 1+ goals
84%
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 2+ goals
54%
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 3+ goals
27%
FCSB 1+ goals
92%
FCSB 2+ goals
70%
FCSB 3+ goals
44%

Draw no bet

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite (draw refunded)
35%
FCSB (draw refunded)
65%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
70%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite at home — creates 1.80, concedes 2.80 · 5 matches

FCSB away — creates 2.17, concedes 1.83 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite attack 1.80 + FCSB defence 1.83 → ÷2 → 1.81

FCSB attack 2.17 + Muscelul Câmpulung Elite defence 2.80 → ÷2 → 2.48

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 52%?"

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite scores more
28%
level
19%
FCSB scores more
52%

FCSB at 52% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 52% does not mean "FCSB will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Muscelul Câmpulung Elite face FCSB (Friendlies Clubs)

Friendlies Clubs returns with Muscelul Câmpulung Elite hosting FCSB. Match starts January 30, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.