Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Muş Sport Klübü vs Menemen FK — Türkiye Kupası 2018

Muş Sport Klübü
Muş Sport Klübü
AET
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Menemen FK
Menemen FK
10/29/2025Türkiye KupasıTürkiye Kupası · 3rd Round

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Muş Sport Klübü78%
×Draw14%
Menemen FK8%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Muş Sport Klübü
2.82
Menemen FK
0.83

Muş Sport Klübü creates 240% more chances

Season form · 7 home / 5 away

creates per match

Muş Sport Klübü
3.43
Menemen FK
0.80

allows per match

Muş Sport Klübü
0.86
Menemen FK
2.20

finishing

Muş Sport Klübü+0.00on par
Menemen FK+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

53%Yes
  • Yes53
  • No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Muş Sport Klübü ↓

Menemen FK →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–12%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–08%
1–16%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–011%
2–19%
2–24%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–18%
3–23%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–07%
4–16%
4–22%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 86% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
48%52%4.5
29%71%

Double chance

Muş Sport Klübü or draw
92%
Muş Sport Klübü or Menemen FK
86%
Draw or Menemen FK
22%

Winning margin

Muş Sport Klübü wins by 2+
57%
Menemen FK wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Muş Sport Klübü 1+ goals
94%
Muş Sport Klübü 2+ goals
77%
Muş Sport Klübü 3+ goals
52%
Menemen FK 1+ goals
56%
Menemen FK 2+ goals
20%
Menemen FK 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Muş Sport Klübü (draw refunded)
90%
Menemen FK (draw refunded)
10%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
47%
Both score & under 3
6%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Muş Sport Klübü at home — creates 3.43, concedes 0.86 · 7 matches

Menemen FK away — creates 0.80, concedes 2.20 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Muş Sport Klübü attack 3.43 + Menemen FK defence 2.20 → ÷2 → 2.82

Menemen FK attack 0.80 + Muş Sport Klübü defence 0.86 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 78%?"

Muş Sport Klübü scores more
78%
level
14%
Menemen FK scores more
8%

Muş Sport Klübü at 78% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 78% does not mean "Muş Sport Klübü will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Türkiye Kupası: Muş Sport Klübü 0–0 Menemen FK

Muş Sport Klübü and Menemen FK drew 0-0 in Türkiye Kupası on October 29, 2025.