Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets — Super League 2026

Moyale Barracks
Moyale Barracks
FT
0 – 0
HT: 0 – 0
Nyasa Big Bullets
Nyasa Big Bullets
5/27/2024Super LeagueSuper League · Round 7Mzuzu Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 79+ matches

Moyale Barracks32%
×Draw32%
Nyasa Big Bullets36%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Moyale Barracks
0.90
Nyasa Big Bullets
0.96

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 81 home / 79 away

creates per match

Moyale Barracks
1.23
Nyasa Big Bullets
1.23

allows per match

Moyale Barracks
0.69
Nyasa Big Bullets
0.57

finishing

Moyale Barracks+0.00on par
Nyasa Big Bullets+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Under
  • Under71
  • Over29

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

63%No
  • No63
  • Yes37

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Moyale Barracks ↓

Nyasa Big Bullets →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–115%
0–27%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–014%
1–113%
1–26%
1–32%
1–40%
2
2–06%
2–16%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–10%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 0–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
55%45%2.5
29%71%3.5
12%88%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Moyale Barracks or draw
64%
Moyale Barracks or Nyasa Big Bullets
68%
Draw or Nyasa Big Bullets
68%

Winning margin

Moyale Barracks wins by 2+
11%
Nyasa Big Bullets wins by 2+
13%

Team goals

Moyale Barracks 1+ goals
59%
Moyale Barracks 2+ goals
23%
Moyale Barracks 3+ goals
6%
Nyasa Big Bullets 1+ goals
62%
Nyasa Big Bullets 2+ goals
25%
Nyasa Big Bullets 3+ goals
7%

Draw no bet

Moyale Barracks (draw refunded)
48%
Nyasa Big Bullets (draw refunded)
52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
23%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Moyale Barracks at home — creates 1.23, concedes 0.69 · 81 matches

Nyasa Big Bullets away — creates 1.23, concedes 0.57 · 79 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Moyale Barracks attack 1.23 + Nyasa Big Bullets defence 0.57 → ÷2 → 0.90

Nyasa Big Bullets attack 1.23 + Moyale Barracks defence 0.69 → ÷2 → 0.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 36%?"

Moyale Barracks scores more
32%
level
32%
Nyasa Big Bullets scores more
36%

Nyasa Big Bullets at 36% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 36% does not mean "Nyasa Big Bullets will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Moyale Barracks 0–0 Nyasa Big Bullets

Moyale Barracks and Nyasa Big Bullets drew 0-0 in Super League on May 27, 2024.

The match was played at Mzuzu Stadium in Mzuzu.