Morocco W 1–0 Ghana W: Result & Stats

Morocco W

FT

1 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Ghana W

S. Ouzraoui Diki 90'

2/21/2025

Friendlies Women · FriendliesStade Pere-Jego

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Morocco W65%

×Draw20%

Ghana W15%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Morocco WExpected goals in this matchGhana W

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

2.15

0.93

Morocco W

2.15

Ghana W

0.93

Morocco W creates 131% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 12 away

2.54

creates per match

0.92

0.93

allows per match

1.75

creates per match

Morocco W

2.54

Ghana W

0.92

allows per match

Morocco W

0.93

Ghana W

1.75

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Morocco W+0.00on par

Ghana W+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes53
No47

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Morocco W ↓

Ghana W →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–14%

0–22%

0–31%

0–40%

1

1–010%

1–19%

1–24%

1–31%

1–40%

2

2–011%

2–110%

2–25%

2–31%

2–40%

3

3–08%

3–17%

3–23%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–04%

4–14%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (11%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

37%63%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Morocco W or draw

85%

Morocco W or Ghana W

80%

Draw or Ghana W

35%

Winning margin

Morocco W wins by 2+

41%

Ghana W wins by 2+

5%

Team goals

Morocco W 1+ goals

88%

Morocco W 2+ goals

63%

Morocco W 3+ goals

36%

Ghana W 1+ goals

61%

Ghana W 2+ goals

24%

Ghana W 3+ goals

7%

Draw no bet

Morocco W (draw refunded)

81%

Ghana W (draw refunded)

19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

44%

Both score & under 3

9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Morocco W at home — creates 2.54, concedes 0.93 · 41 matches

Ghana W away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.75 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Morocco W attack 2.54 + Ghana W defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 2.15

Ghana W attack 0.92 + Morocco W defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 0.93

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 65%?"

Morocco W scores more

65%

level

20%

Ghana W scores more

15%

Morocco W at 65% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 65% does not mean "Morocco W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

28'

N. Norshie

46'

A. Al Hassan← N. Norshie

69'

A. J. Bonsu Kyerewaa← P. Marfo

69'

G. Assifuah← D. Boaduwaa

71'

75'

P. Adubea← S. Sumaila

86'

90'

S. Ouzraoui Diki

Morocco

Ghana

1

Konlan

17

Boakye

4

▼

12

7

6

5

20

18

▼

Sumaila

11

▼

Marfo

9

▼

12

14

21

2

17

10

7

18

25

20

9

Manager: Jorge Vilda Rodríguez

Morocco W substitutes

16HasnaouiArariCherifChhiriBenzina4BoukhamiBouguerch11Tagnaout19DikiGhazouaniChapelle23Ayane

Manager: Lars Kim Björkegren

46'▲A. Al Hassan←▼N. Norshie

69'▲A. J. Bonsu Kyerewaa←▼P. Marfo

69'▲G. Assifuah←▼D. Boaduwaa

75'▲P. Adubea←▼S. Sumaila

Ghana W substitutes

2Hassan3Yeboah8Kyerewaa10Adubea13Badu14Nyamekye15Assifuah16McCarthy19Tweneboaa21Bugri22Salifu23Amponsah

Friendlies Women: Morocco W 1–0 Ghana W

Morocco W beat Ghana W 1-0 in Friendlies Women on February 21, 2025.

Goals: S. Ouzraoui Diki (90').

The match was played at Stade Pere-Jego in Casablanca.

Morocco W vs Ghana W — Friendlies Women 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Women: Morocco W 1–0 Ghana W