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Morocco W vs Benin W — Friendlies Women 2026

Morocco W
Morocco W
FT
4 – 2
HT: 3 – 1
Benin W
Benin W
J. Nassi 80'
E. Nakkach 43'
S. Ouzraoui Diki 26' (pen)
I. Jraidi 13'
L. Fachina 87'
M. Sadikou 22'
6/5/2026Friendlies WomenFriendlies Women · Friendly International Women

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Morocco W66%
×Draw18%
Benin W17%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Morocco W
2.49
Benin W
1.18

Morocco W creates 111% more chances

Season form · 41 home / 7 away

creates per match

Morocco W
2.54
Benin W
1.43

allows per match

Morocco W
0.93
Benin W
2.43

finishing

Morocco W+0.00on par
Benin W+0.00on par

Total goals

71%Over
  • Over71
  • Under29

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

63%Yes
  • Yes63
  • No37

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Morocco W ↓

Benin W →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–13%
0–22%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–06%
1–18%
1–24%
1–32%
1–41%
2
2–08%
2–19%
2–26%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–07%
3–18%
3–25%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–04%
4–15%
4–23%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 2–1 (9%) · grid covers 90% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
71%29%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Morocco W or draw
83%
Morocco W or Benin W
82%
Draw or Benin W
34%

Winning margin

Morocco W wins by 2+
44%
Benin W wins by 2+
6%

Team goals

Morocco W 1+ goals
92%
Morocco W 2+ goals
71%
Morocco W 3+ goals
45%
Benin W 1+ goals
69%
Benin W 2+ goals
33%
Benin W 3+ goals
12%

Draw no bet

Morocco W (draw refunded)
80%
Benin W (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
56%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Morocco W at home — creates 2.54, concedes 0.93 · 41 matches

Benin W away — creates 1.43, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Morocco W attack 2.54 + Benin W defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 2.49

Benin W attack 1.43 + Morocco W defence 0.93 → ÷2 → 1.18

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 66%?"

Morocco W scores more
66%
level
18%
Benin W scores more
17%

Morocco W at 66% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 66% does not mean "Morocco W will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

13'
I. Jraidi
22'
M. Sadikou
26'
S. Ouzraoui DikiPenalty
43'
E. Nakkach
80'
J. Nassi
87'
L. Fachina

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Women: Morocco W 4–2 Benin W

Morocco W beat Benin W 4-2 in Friendlies Women on June 5, 2026.

Goals: I. Jraidi (13'), M. Sadikou (22'), S. Ouzraoui Diki (26' pen), E. Nakkach (43'), J. Nassi (80'), L. Fachina (87').