Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 8+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
48%
Over
52%
Under
Both Score
53%
Yes
47%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
0-1
10%
1-0
10%
xG Profile (8 home / 8 away matches)
Moreirense
xG 0.99 · xGA 1.58
+0.26 vs xG
Tondela
xG 1.05 · xGA 1.6
-0.3 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Moreirense vs Tondela — Primeira Liga 2026
Primeira Liga·2026📍Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas- Date
- Jan 11, 2026, 6:00 PM
- Tournament
- Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 16
- Referee
- S. Guelho
- Venue
- Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Conegos
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Moreirense
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52554%
- Under 2.52146%
Both teams scored
- Yes2452%
- No2248%
Tondela
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52453%
- Under 2.52147%
Both teams scored
- Yes1738%
- No2862%
Probable lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff
Head to Head
FC Porto
Sporting CP
Benfica
SC Braga
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Arouca
Estoril
Alverca
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Nacional
Casa Pia
Estrela
Tondela
AVS
TorreenseIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Moreirense host Tondela on Sunday, 11 January 2026 at 18:00. The match is part of the Primeira Liga 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Moreirense vs Tondela
Moreirense beat Tondela 1-0 in Primeira Liga on January 11, 2026.
The match was played at Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in Moreira de Conegos.