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Montana vs Yantra 2019 — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Montana
Montana
CANC
13:00
Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
1/21/2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 6+ matches

Montana57%
×Draw26%
Yantra 201917%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Montana
1.50
Yantra 2019
0.67

Montana creates 124% more chances

Season form · 6 home / 6 away

creates per match

Montana
1.33
Yantra 2019
0.67

allows per match

Montana
0.67
Yantra 2019
1.67

finishing

Montana+0.00on par
Yantra 2019+0.00on par

Total goals

63%Under
  • Under63
  • Over37

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Montana ↓

Yantra 2019 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–18%
0–23%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
64%36%2.5
37%63%3.5
17%83%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Montana or draw
83%
Montana or Yantra 2019
74%
Draw or Yantra 2019
43%

Winning margin

Montana wins by 2+
30%
Yantra 2019 wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Montana 1+ goals
78%
Montana 2+ goals
44%
Montana 3+ goals
19%
Yantra 2019 1+ goals
49%
Yantra 2019 2+ goals
15%
Yantra 2019 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Montana (draw refunded)
78%
Yantra 2019 (draw refunded)
22%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
26%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Montana at home — creates 1.33, concedes 0.67 · 6 matches

Yantra 2019 away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.67 · 6 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Montana attack 1.33 + Yantra 2019 defence 1.67 → ÷2 → 1.50

Yantra 2019 attack 0.67 + Montana defence 0.67 → ÷2 → 0.67

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 57%?"

Montana scores more
57%
level
26%
Yantra 2019 scores more
17%

Montana at 57% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 57% does not mean "Montana will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Montana vs Yantra 2019 — Match Preview

Montana face Yantra 2019 on January 21, 2022 in this Friendlies Clubs fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.