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Mladost Lješkopolje vs Zeta — Second League 2025

Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Preview
17:00
Zeta
Zeta
9/16/2026Second LeagueSecond League · Round 6
Big match
45%
Mladost Lješkopolje
model favours
45%30%25%

Mladost Lješkopolje score first in only 31% of matches

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
67%
under 2.5 goals
40%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 9+ matches

Mladost Lješkopolje45%
×Draw30%
Zeta25%
✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
48.6%
Always home
43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mladost Lješkopolje
1.21
Zeta
0.83

Mladost Lješkopolje creates 46% more chances

Season form · 20 home / 9 away

creates per match

Mladost Lješkopolje
1.30
Zeta
0.67

allows per match

Mladost Lješkopolje
1.00
Zeta
1.11

finishing

Mladost Lješkopolje+0.00on par
Zeta+0.00on par

Total goals

67%Under
  • Under67
  • Over33

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mladost Lješkopolje ↓

Zeta →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–013%
0–111%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
87%13%1.5
60%40%2.5
33%67%3.5
15%85%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Mladost Lješkopolje or draw
75%
Mladost Lješkopolje or Zeta
70%
Draw or Zeta
55%

Winning margin

Mladost Lješkopolje wins by 2+
20%
Zeta wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Mladost Lješkopolje 1+ goals
70%
Mladost Lješkopolje 2+ goals
34%
Mladost Lješkopolje 3+ goals
12%
Zeta 1+ goals
56%
Zeta 2+ goals
20%
Zeta 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Mladost Lješkopolje (draw refunded)
64%
Zeta (draw refunded)
36%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mladost Lješkopolje at home — creates 1.30, concedes 1.00 · 20 matches

Zeta away — creates 0.67, concedes 1.11 · 9 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mladost Lješkopolje attack 1.30 + Zeta defence 1.11 → ÷2 → 1.21

Zeta attack 0.67 + Mladost Lješkopolje defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Mladost Lješkopolje scores more
45%
level
30%
Zeta scores more
25%

Mladost Lješkopolje at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Mladost Lješkopolje will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Lješkopolje
WDWLW
Zeta
DDDWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Mladost Lješkopolje face Zeta (Second League)

Second League returns with Mladost Lješkopolje hosting Zeta. Match starts September 16, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.