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Mladá Boleslav II vs Přepeře — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Mladá Boleslav II
Mladá Boleslav II
FT
2 – 4
HT: 1 – 1
Přepeře
Přepeře
1/28/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Mladá Boleslav II49%
×Draw19%
Přepeře32%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mladá Boleslav II
2.67
Přepeře
2.17

Mladá Boleslav II creates 23% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Mladá Boleslav II
2.60
Přepeře
1.75

allows per match

Mladá Boleslav II
2.60
Přepeře
2.75

finishing

Mladá Boleslav II+0.00on par
Přepeře+0.00on par

Total goals

86%Over
  • Over86
  • Under14

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

82%Yes
  • Yes82
  • No18

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mladá Boleslav II ↓

Přepeře →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–01%
0–12%
0–22%
0–31%
0–41%
1
1–02%
1–15%
1–25%
1–34%
1–42%
2
2–03%
2–16%
2–27%
2–35%
2–43%
3
3–03%
3–16%
3–26%
3–34%
3–42%
4
4–02%
4–14%
4–24%
4–33%
4–42%

Most likely 2–2 (7%) · grid covers 83% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
99%1%1.5
95%5%2.5
86%14%3.5
70%30%4.5
52%48%

Double chance

Mladá Boleslav II or draw
68%
Mladá Boleslav II or Přepeře
81%
Draw or Přepeře
51%

Winning margin

Mladá Boleslav II wins by 2+
31%
Přepeře wins by 2+
17%

Team goals

Mladá Boleslav II 1+ goals
93%
Mladá Boleslav II 2+ goals
74%
Mladá Boleslav II 3+ goals
49%
Přepeře 1+ goals
89%
Přepeře 2+ goals
64%
Přepeře 3+ goals
36%

Draw no bet

Mladá Boleslav II (draw refunded)
60%
Přepeře (draw refunded)
40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
78%
Both score & under 3
5%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mladá Boleslav II at home — creates 2.60, concedes 2.60 · 5 matches

Přepeře away — creates 1.75, concedes 2.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mladá Boleslav II attack 2.60 + Přepeře defence 2.75 → ÷2 → 2.67

Přepeře attack 1.75 + Mladá Boleslav II defence 2.60 → ÷2 → 2.17

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 49%?"

Mladá Boleslav II scores more
49%
level
19%
Přepeře scores more
32%

Mladá Boleslav II at 49% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 49% does not mean "Mladá Boleslav II will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mladá Boleslav II vs Přepeře

Přepeře beat Mladá Boleslav II 4-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 28, 2026.