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Mitundu Baptist vs Masters FC — Super League 2026

Mitundu Baptist
Mitundu Baptist
Preview
12:30
Masters FC
Masters FC
11/22/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 20
60%
Mitundu Baptist
model favours
60%25%15%
1–0
likely score
62%
under 2.5 goals
38%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 4+ matches

Mitundu Baptist60%
×Draw25%
Masters FC15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mitundu Baptist
1.57
Masters FC
0.65

Mitundu Baptist creates 142% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 4 away

creates per match

Mitundu Baptist
1.40
Masters FC
0.50

allows per match

Mitundu Baptist
0.80
Masters FC
1.75

finishing

Mitundu Baptist+0.00on par
Masters FC+0.00on par

Total goals

62%Under
  • Under62
  • Over38

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

62%No
  • No62
  • Yes38

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mitundu Baptist ↓

Masters FC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–011%
0–17%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–017%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–07%
3–15%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (17%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
89%11%1.5
65%35%2.5
38%62%3.5
18%82%4.5
7%93%

Double chance

Mitundu Baptist or draw
85%
Mitundu Baptist or Masters FC
75%
Draw or Masters FC
40%

Winning margin

Mitundu Baptist wins by 2+
32%
Masters FC wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Mitundu Baptist 1+ goals
79%
Mitundu Baptist 2+ goals
46%
Mitundu Baptist 3+ goals
21%
Masters FC 1+ goals
48%
Masters FC 2+ goals
14%
Masters FC 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Mitundu Baptist (draw refunded)
80%
Masters FC (draw refunded)
20%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
27%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mitundu Baptist at home — creates 1.40, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Masters FC away — creates 0.50, concedes 1.75 · 4 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mitundu Baptist attack 1.40 + Masters FC defence 1.75 → ÷2 → 1.57

Masters FC attack 0.50 + Mitundu Baptist defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.65

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 60%?"

Mitundu Baptist scores more
60%
level
25%
Masters FC scores more
15%

Mitundu Baptist at 60% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 60% does not mean "Mitundu Baptist will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Baptist
DWLW
FC
WLLL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Mitundu Baptist vs Masters FC — Match Preview

Mitundu Baptist face Masters FC on November 22, 2026 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.