Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Mitundu Baptist vs Creck — Super League 2026

Mitundu Baptist
Mitundu Baptist
Preview
12:30
Creck
Creck
1/3/2027Super LeagueSuper League · Round 25
47%
Mitundu Baptist
model favours
47%29%24%

Mitundu Baptist and Creck have never met before

brightest fact of this match

1–0
likely score
65%
under 2.5 goals
41%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Mitundu Baptist47%
×Draw29%
Creck24%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mitundu Baptist
1.28
Creck
0.83

Mitundu Baptist creates 54% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 35 away

creates per match

Mitundu Baptist
1.40
Creck
0.86

allows per match

Mitundu Baptist
0.80
Creck
1.17

finishing

Mitundu Baptist+0.00on par
Creck+0.00on par

Total goals

65%Under
  • Under65
  • Over35

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mitundu Baptist ↓

Creck →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–012%
0–110%
0–24%
0–31%
0–40%
1
1–016%
1–113%
1–25%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–010%
2–18%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–04%
3–14%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (16%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
88%12%1.5
62%38%2.5
35%65%3.5
16%84%4.5
6%94%

Double chance

Mitundu Baptist or draw
76%
Mitundu Baptist or Creck
71%
Draw or Creck
53%

Winning margin

Mitundu Baptist wins by 2+
22%
Creck wins by 2+
8%

Team goals

Mitundu Baptist 1+ goals
72%
Mitundu Baptist 2+ goals
37%
Mitundu Baptist 3+ goals
14%
Creck 1+ goals
56%
Creck 2+ goals
20%
Creck 3+ goals
5%

Draw no bet

Mitundu Baptist (draw refunded)
66%
Creck (draw refunded)
34%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
28%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mitundu Baptist at home — creates 1.40, concedes 0.80 · 5 matches

Creck away — creates 0.86, concedes 1.17 · 35 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mitundu Baptist attack 1.40 + Creck defence 1.17 → ÷2 → 1.28

Creck attack 0.86 + Mitundu Baptist defence 0.80 → ÷2 → 0.83

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Mitundu Baptist scores more
47%
level
29%
Creck scores more
24%

Mitundu Baptist at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Mitundu Baptist will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Form
Baptist
DWLW
Creck
LLWL

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Mitundu Baptist vs Creck — Match Preview

Mitundu Baptist face Creck on January 3, 2027 in this Super League fixture. Get live scores, lineups, and real-time match statistics here when the game starts.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.