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Missile vs Vautour Club — Championnat D1 2022

Missile
Missile
Preview
14:30
Vautour Club
Vautour Club
10/11/2026Championnat D1Championnat D1 · Round 1Stade Augustin Monedan de Sibang
43%
Vautour Club
model favours
30%28%43%

Vautour Club are unbeaten in 7 straight

brightest fact of this match

1–1
likely score
58%
under 2.5 goals
47%
both teams score

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 8+ matches

Missile30%
×Draw28%
Vautour Club43%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Missile
1.04
Vautour Club
1.31

Vautour Club creates 26% more chances

Season form · 8 home / 33 away

creates per match

Missile
0.88
Vautour Club
1.36

allows per match

Missile
1.25
Vautour Club
1.21

finishing

Missile+0.00on par
Vautour Club+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Under
  • Under58
  • Over42

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

53%No
  • No53
  • Yes47

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Missile ↓

Vautour Club →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–010%
0–112%
0–28%
0–34%
0–41%
1
1–010%
1–113%
1–29%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–05%
2–17%
2–24%
2–32%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–12%
3–22%
3–31%
3–40%
4
4–00%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
90%10%1.5
68%32%2.5
42%58%3.5
21%79%4.5
9%91%

Double chance

Missile or draw
57%
Missile or Vautour Club
72%
Draw or Vautour Club
70%

Winning margin

Missile wins by 2+
11%
Vautour Club wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Missile 1+ goals
65%
Missile 2+ goals
28%
Missile 3+ goals
9%
Vautour Club 1+ goals
73%
Vautour Club 2+ goals
38%
Vautour Club 3+ goals
14%

Draw no bet

Missile (draw refunded)
41%
Vautour Club (draw refunded)
59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
34%
Both score & under 3
13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Missile at home — creates 0.88, concedes 1.25 · 8 matches

Vautour Club away — creates 1.36, concedes 1.21 · 33 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Missile attack 0.88 + Vautour Club defence 1.21 → ÷2 → 1.04

Vautour Club attack 1.36 + Missile defence 1.25 → ÷2 → 1.31

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 43%?"

Missile scores more
30%
level
28%
Vautour Club scores more
43%

Vautour Club at 43% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 43% does not mean "Vautour Club will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Insights

  • Vautour Club have scored in 7 games running
  • 69% of Vautour Club’s matches stay under 2.5 goals

Based on historical data — not a prediction.

Form
Missile
LL
Club
DWWW

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Missile face Vautour Club (Championnat D1)

Championnat D1 returns with Missile hosting Vautour Club. Match starts October 11, 2026. Live commentary, lineups, and stats appear here from kickoff. Submit your prediction below for a chance to earn XP.

Missile host Vautour Club at Stade Augustin Monedan de Sibang.

Submit your prediction below — exact score, 1X2, total goals, and both teams to score. Earn XP for correct picks.