Mirandes 1–5 Deportivo La Coruna: Result & Stats

Mirandes

FT

1 – 5

HT: 0 – 2

Deportivo La Coruna

R. Bauza 68'

Z. Eddahchouri 88', 80', 72'

Cruz Luismi 38', 14'

9/13/2025

Segunda División · Round 5Estadio Mendizorrotza

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 5+ matches

Mirandes35%

×Draw28%

Deportivo La Coruna38%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MirandesExpected goals in this matchDeportivo La Coruna

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.17

1.24

Mirandes

1.17

Deportivo La Coruna

1.24

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 8 home / 5 away

1.23

creates per match

1.05

1.43

allows per match

1.10

creates per match

Mirandes

1.23

Deportivo La Coruna

1.05

allows per match

Mirandes

1.43

Deportivo La Coruna

1.10

+0.15scores more than expected

finishing

-0.25scores less than expected

finishing

Mirandes+0.15scores more

Deportivo La Coruna-0.25scores less

Total goals

Under57
Over43

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No51
Yes49

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mirandes ↓

Deportivo La Coruna →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–09%

0–111%

0–27%

0–33%

0–41%

1

1–011%

1–113%

1–28%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–18%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (13%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

91%9%1.5

69%31%2.5

43%57%3.5

22%78%4.5

10%90%

Double chance

Mirandes or draw

62%

Mirandes or Deportivo La Coruna

72%

Draw or Deportivo La Coruna

65%

Winning margin

Mirandes wins by 2+

14%

Deportivo La Coruna wins by 2+

16%

Team goals

Mirandes 1+ goals

69%

Mirandes 2+ goals

33%

Mirandes 3+ goals

11%

Deportivo La Coruna 1+ goals

71%

Deportivo La Coruna 2+ goals

35%

Deportivo La Coruna 3+ goals

13%

Draw no bet

Mirandes (draw refunded)

48%

Deportivo La Coruna (draw refunded)

52%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

36%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mirandes at home — creates 1.23, concedes 1.43 · 8 matches

Deportivo La Coruna away — creates 1.05, concedes 1.10 · 5 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mirandes attack 1.23 + Deportivo La Coruna defence 1.10 → ÷2 → 1.17

Deportivo La Coruna attack 1.05 + Mirandes defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.24

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 38%?"

Mirandes scores more

35%

level

28%

Deportivo La Coruna scores more

38%

Deportivo La Coruna at 38% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 38% does not mean "Deportivo La Coruna will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

9

Z. Eddahchouri

Deportivo La Coruna · F

10.0

Match Events

14'

Cruz Luismi↳ M. Soriano

29'

Juan Gutiérrez

38'

Cruz Luismi

46'

Ximo Navarro

46'

M. Illesca← T. Helguera

46'

P. Lopez← I. Barea Fernandez

53'

Giacomo Quagliata

58'

S. El Jebari← I. Varela

66'

C. Patino← D. Mella

66'

S. Escudero← G. Quagliata

67'

G. Petit← F. Medrano

68'

R. Bauza↳ S. El Jebari

71'

Z. Eddahchouri← S. Mulattieri

71'

Stoichkov← Y. Hernandez

72'

Z. Eddahchouri↳ M. Soriano

74'

Sergio Escudero

77'

Hugo Novoa Ramos

78'

A. Cardero← R. Bauza

80'

Z. Eddahchouri↳ M. Soriano

83'

L. Noubi← Cruz Luismi

88'

Z. Eddahchouri↳ S. Escudero

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MirandesDeportivo

Overview

49%Possession51%

9Total Shots20

1Corners6

13Fouls10

Shots

9Total Shots20

6On Target9

2Off Target6

1Blocked5

3Inside Box13

6Outside Box7

Passing

49%Possession51%

421Total Passes443

354Accurate Passes368

84%Pass Accuracy83%

Goalkeeping

4Saves5

Discipline

13Fouls10

2Yellow Cards3

3Offsides1