Miedz Legnica 2–3 Chrobry Głogów: Result & Stats

Miedz Legnica

FT

2 – 3

HT: 1 – 0

Chrobry Głogów

J. Podgorski 81'

D. Stanclik 6' (pen)

S. Strozik 85'

M. Mazur 72'

S. Bartlewicz 47'

1/17/2026

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 10+ matches

Miedz Legnica47%

×Draw23%

Chrobry Głogów31%

✓ Correct in 49 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

48.6%

Always home

43.8%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 48.6% correct across 15,072 matches, vs 43.8% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.1% correct · Away picks 45.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Miedz LegnicaExpected goals in this matchChrobry Głogów

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.81

1.43

Miedz Legnica

1.81

Chrobry Głogów

1.43

Miedz Legnica creates 27% more chances

Season form · 10 home / 11 away

1.80

creates per match

1.55

1.30

allows per match

1.82

creates per match

Miedz Legnica

1.80

Chrobry Głogów

1.55

allows per match

Miedz Legnica

1.30

Chrobry Głogów

1.82

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Miedz Legnica+0.00on par

Chrobry Głogów+0.00on par

Total goals

Over63
Under37

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes64
No36

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Miedz Legnica ↓

Chrobry Głogów →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–110%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 95% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

83%17%2.5

63%37%3.5

40%60%4.5

22%78%

Double chance

Miedz Legnica or draw

69%

Miedz Legnica or Chrobry Głogów

77%

Draw or Chrobry Głogów

53%

Winning margin

Miedz Legnica wins by 2+

25%

Chrobry Głogów wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Miedz Legnica 1+ goals

84%

Miedz Legnica 2+ goals

54%

Miedz Legnica 3+ goals

27%

Chrobry Głogów 1+ goals

76%

Chrobry Głogów 2+ goals

42%

Chrobry Głogów 3+ goals

17%

Draw no bet

Miedz Legnica (draw refunded)

60%

Chrobry Głogów (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

53%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Miedz Legnica at home — creates 1.80, concedes 1.30 · 10 matches

Chrobry Głogów away — creates 1.55, concedes 1.82 · 11 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Miedz Legnica attack 1.80 + Chrobry Głogów defence 1.82 → ÷2 → 1.81

Chrobry Głogów attack 1.55 + Miedz Legnica defence 1.30 → ÷2 → 1.43

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Miedz Legnica scores more

47%

level

23%

Chrobry Głogów scores more

31%

Miedz Legnica at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Miedz Legnica will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

6'

D. StanclikPenalty

47'

S. Bartlewicz

49'

72'

M. Mazur

81'

J. Podgorski

85'

S. Strozik

Miedz

Chrobry

72

3

7

8

11

15

21

⚽

25

59

80

98

Manager: Janusz Niedzwiedz

Miedz Legnica substitutes

WrabelEngvallKeitaHerbutSzymoniakDrygasPodgorskiMichaleczkoSzubaMaliszewskiDiallo

Manager: Lukasz Becella

Chrobry Głogów substitutes

ArndtJanikZarownyMazurTabisLewkotBoneckiNowakowskiManijakStrozikSzablowskiBartlewicz

Friendlies Clubs: Miedz Legnica 2–3 Chrobry Głogów

Chrobry Głogów beat Miedz Legnica 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2026.

Goals: D. Stanclik (6' pen), S. Bartlewicz (47'), M. Mazur (72'), J. Podgorski (81'), S. Strozik (85').

Miedz Legnica vs Chrobry Głogów — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Friendlies Clubs: Miedz Legnica 2–3 Chrobry Głogów