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Miedz Legnica vs Bihor Oradea — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Miedz Legnica
Miedz Legnica
FT
2 – 2
HT: 1 – 1
Bihor Oradea
Bihor Oradea
1/29/2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendly

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 3+ matches

Miedz Legnica34%
×Draw25%
Bihor Oradea41%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.2%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Miedz Legnica
1.40
Bihor Oradea
1.55

Bihor Oradea creates 11% more chances

Season form · 14 home / 3 away

creates per match

Miedz Legnica
1.79
Bihor Oradea
1.67

allows per match

Miedz Legnica
1.43
Bihor Oradea
1.00

finishing

Miedz Legnica+0.00on par
Bihor Oradea+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Over
  • Over56
  • Under44

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

59%Yes
  • Yes59
  • No41

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Miedz Legnica ↓

Bihor Oradea →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–18%
0–26%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–07%
1–111%
1–29%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–05%
2–18%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–23%
3–31%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
79%21%2.5
56%44%3.5
34%66%4.5
17%83%

Double chance

Miedz Legnica or draw
59%
Miedz Legnica or Bihor Oradea
75%
Draw or Bihor Oradea
66%

Winning margin

Miedz Legnica wins by 2+
16%
Bihor Oradea wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Miedz Legnica 1+ goals
75%
Miedz Legnica 2+ goals
41%
Miedz Legnica 3+ goals
17%
Bihor Oradea 1+ goals
79%
Bihor Oradea 2+ goals
46%
Bihor Oradea 3+ goals
20%

Draw no bet

Miedz Legnica (draw refunded)
46%
Bihor Oradea (draw refunded)
54%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
48%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Miedz Legnica at home — creates 1.79, concedes 1.43 · 14 matches

Bihor Oradea away — creates 1.67, concedes 1.00 · 3 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Miedz Legnica attack 1.79 + Bihor Oradea defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.40

Bihor Oradea attack 1.67 + Miedz Legnica defence 1.43 → ÷2 → 1.55

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Miedz Legnica scores more
34%
level
25%
Bihor Oradea scores more
41%

Bihor Oradea at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Bihor Oradea will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Miedz
Bihor
Janusz Niedzwiedz
Manager: Janusz Niedzwiedz
Erik Lincar
Manager: Erik Lincar

Friendlies Clubs: Miedz Legnica 2–2 Bihor Oradea

Miedz Legnica and Bihor Oradea drew 2-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 29, 2026.