Mezokovesd-zsory 1–2 FK Košice: Result & Stats

Mezokovesd-zsory

FT

1 – 2

HT: 1 – 1

FK Košice

1/20/2024

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Városi Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 18+ matches

Mezokovesd-zsory47%

×Draw22%

FK Košice31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.3%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Mezokovesd-zsoryExpected goals in this matchFK Košice

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.90

1.51

Mezokovesd-zsory

1.90

FK Košice

1.51

Mezokovesd-zsory creates 26% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 21 away

2.17

creates per match

1.52

1.50

allows per match

1.62

creates per match

Mezokovesd-zsory

2.17

FK Košice

1.52

allows per match

Mezokovesd-zsory

1.50

FK Košice

1.62

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Mezokovesd-zsory+0.00on par

FK Košice+0.00on par

Total goals

Over66
Under34

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes66
No34

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mezokovesd-zsory ↓

FK Košice →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–03%

0–15%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–06%

1–110%

1–27%

1–34%

1–41%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–16%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–13%

4–22%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (10%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

97%3%1.5

85%15%2.5

66%34%3.5

44%56%4.5

25%75%

Double chance

Mezokovesd-zsory or draw

69%

Mezokovesd-zsory or FK Košice

78%

Draw or FK Košice

53%

Winning margin

Mezokovesd-zsory wins by 2+

26%

FK Košice wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Mezokovesd-zsory 1+ goals

85%

Mezokovesd-zsory 2+ goals

56%

Mezokovesd-zsory 3+ goals

29%

FK Košice 1+ goals

78%

FK Košice 2+ goals

44%

FK Košice 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Mezokovesd-zsory (draw refunded)

60%

FK Košice (draw refunded)

40%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

57%

Both score & under 3

10%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mezokovesd-zsory at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.50 · 18 matches

FK Košice away — creates 1.52, concedes 1.62 · 21 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mezokovesd-zsory attack 2.17 + FK Košice defence 1.62 → ÷2 → 1.90

FK Košice attack 1.52 + Mezokovesd-zsory defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.51

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Mezokovesd-zsory scores more

47%

level

22%

FK Košice scores more

31%

Mezokovesd-zsory at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Mezokovesd-zsory will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Mezokovesd-zsory vs FK Košice

FK Košice beat Mezokovesd-zsory 2-1 in Friendlies Clubs on January 20, 2024.

The match was played at Városi Stadion in Mezőkövesd.

Mezokovesd-zsory vs FK Košice — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Head to Head

Match Recap: Mezokovesd-zsory vs FK Košice