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Mezokovesd-zsory vs Budafoki LC — Friendlies Clubs 2026

Mezokovesd-zsory
Mezokovesd-zsory
FT
2 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
1/17/2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies 3Városi Stadion

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 12+ matches

Mezokovesd-zsory31%
×Draw22%
Budafoki LC47%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Mezokovesd-zsory
1.58
Budafoki LC
1.96

Budafoki LC creates 24% more chances

Season form · 18 home / 12 away

creates per match

Mezokovesd-zsory
2.17
Budafoki LC
2.42

allows per match

Mezokovesd-zsory
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.00

finishing

Mezokovesd-zsory+0.00on par
Budafoki LC+0.00on par

Total goals

68%Over
  • Over68
  • Under32

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

68%Yes
  • Yes68
  • No32

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Mezokovesd-zsory ↓

Budafoki LC →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–16%
0–26%
0–34%
0–42%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–29%
1–36%
1–43%
2
2–04%
2–17%
2–27%
2–35%
2–42%
3
3–02%
3–14%
3–24%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–11%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
87%13%2.5
68%32%3.5
47%53%4.5
28%72%

Double chance

Mezokovesd-zsory or draw
53%
Mezokovesd-zsory or Budafoki LC
78%
Draw or Budafoki LC
69%

Winning margin

Mezokovesd-zsory wins by 2+
15%
Budafoki LC wins by 2+
26%

Team goals

Mezokovesd-zsory 1+ goals
79%
Mezokovesd-zsory 2+ goals
47%
Mezokovesd-zsory 3+ goals
21%
Budafoki LC 1+ goals
86%
Budafoki LC 2+ goals
58%
Budafoki LC 3+ goals
31%

Draw no bet

Mezokovesd-zsory (draw refunded)
40%
Budafoki LC (draw refunded)
60%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
59%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Mezokovesd-zsory at home — creates 2.17, concedes 1.50 · 18 matches

Budafoki LC away — creates 2.42, concedes 1.00 · 12 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Mezokovesd-zsory attack 2.17 + Budafoki LC defence 1.00 → ÷2 → 1.58

Budafoki LC attack 2.42 + Mezokovesd-zsory defence 1.50 → ÷2 → 1.96

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 47%?"

Mezokovesd-zsory scores more
31%
level
22%
Budafoki LC scores more
47%

Budafoki LC at 47% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 47% does not mean "Budafoki LC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Friendlies Clubs: Mezokovesd-zsory 2–3 Budafoki LC

Budafoki LC beat Mezokovesd-zsory 3-2 in Friendlies Clubs on January 17, 2024.

The match was played at Városi Stadion in Mezőkövesd.