Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 4+ matches
Mexico 46%Draw 27%28% Ecuador
1.42Expected xG1.04
Over / Under 2.5
45%
Over
55%
Under
Both Score
49%
Yes
51%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
xG Profile (6 home / 4 away matches)
Mexico
xG 1.83 · xGA 0.83
+0 vs xG
Ecuador
xG 1.25 · xGA 1
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Oct 15, 2025, 2:30 AM
- Tournament
- Friendlies · Friendlies 1
- Venue
- Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Mexico
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.5536%
- Under 2.5964%
Both teams scored
- Yes536%
- No964%
Ecuador
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.5429%
- Under 2.51071%
Both teams scored
- Yes536%
- No964%
Player of the match
Match Events
Mexico4-3-37.04
Ecuador4-3-36.65
60'▲César Huerta←▼Hirving Lozano
61'▲Santiago Giménez←▼Germán Berterame
61'▲Marcel Ruíz←▼Luis Romo
75'▲Alexis Vega←▼Julián Quiñones
76'▲Alexis Gutiérrez←▼Erick Sánchez
28'▲Kendry Páez←▼Ángelo Preciado
46'▲Nilson Angulo←▼Alan Minda
68'▲Leonardo Campana←▼Enner Valencia
68'▲Patrik Mercado←▼Pedro Vite
81'▲John Mercado←▼John Yeboah
82'▲Jhoanner Chávez←▼Yaimar Medina
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
MexicoEcuador
Overview
54%Possession46%
13Total Shots7
5Corners5
13Fouls7
Shots
13Total Shots7
4On Target5
6Off Target2
3Blocked0
9Inside Box4
4Outside Box3
Passing
54%Possession46%
432Total Passes365
358Accurate Passes296
83%Pass Accuracy81%
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
Discipline
13Fouls7
2Yellow Cards4
0Offsides1
Mexico host Ecuador on Wednesday, 15 October 2025 at 02:30. The match is part of the Friendlies 2026/2027 season.
VenueEstadio Akron
CompetitionFriendlies — World
Friendlies: Mexico 1–1 Ecuador
Mexico and Ecuador drew 1-1 in Friendlies on October 15, 2025.
Goals: Germán Berterame (3'), Jordy Alcivar (20' pen).
Mexico controlled possession (54%) and registered 13 shots to 7.
The match was played at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara.