Metaloglobus 2–3 Unirea Slobozia: Result & Stats

Metaloglobus

FT

2 – 3

HT: 0 – 2

Unirea Slobozia

S. Visic 86'

Y. Zakir 77'

C. Afalna 47'

R. Espinosa 45', 12' (pen)

12/20/2025

Liga I · Round 21Metaloglobus Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on xG from last 6+ matches

Metaloglobus41%

×Draw24%

Unirea Slobozia35%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.4%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 578,261 matches, vs 44.4% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50% correct · Away picks 48.9% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MetaloglobusExpected goals in this matchUnirea Slobozia

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.63

1.50

Metaloglobus

1.63

Unirea Slobozia

1.50

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 6 home / 23 away

1.33

creates per match

0.92

2.08

allows per match

1.93

creates per match

Metaloglobus

1.33

Unirea Slobozia

0.92

allows per match

Metaloglobus

2.08

Unirea Slobozia

1.93

+0.00on par

finishing

-0.18scores less than expected

finishing

Metaloglobus+0.00on par

Unirea Slobozia-0.18scores less

Total goals

Over60
Under40

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes62
No38

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Metaloglobus ↓

Unirea Slobozia →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–04%

0–17%

0–25%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–07%

1–111%

1–28%

1–34%

1–42%

2

2–06%

2–19%

2–27%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–03%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–01%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

96%4%1.5

82%18%2.5

60%40%3.5

38%62%4.5

21%79%

Double chance

Metaloglobus or draw

65%

Metaloglobus or Unirea Slobozia

76%

Draw or Unirea Slobozia

59%

Winning margin

Metaloglobus wins by 2+

21%

Unirea Slobozia wins by 2+

17%

Team goals

Metaloglobus 1+ goals

80%

Metaloglobus 2+ goals

48%

Metaloglobus 3+ goals

22%

Unirea Slobozia 1+ goals

78%

Unirea Slobozia 2+ goals

44%

Unirea Slobozia 3+ goals

19%

Draw no bet

Metaloglobus (draw refunded)

54%

Unirea Slobozia (draw refunded)

46%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

52%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Metaloglobus at home — creates 1.33, concedes 2.08 · 6 matches

Unirea Slobozia away — creates 0.92, concedes 1.93 · 23 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Metaloglobus attack 1.33 + Unirea Slobozia defence 1.93 → ÷2 → 1.63

Unirea Slobozia attack 0.92 + Metaloglobus defence 2.08 → ÷2 → 1.50

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 41%?"

Metaloglobus scores more

41%

level

24%

Unirea Slobozia scores more

35%

Metaloglobus at 41% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 41% does not mean "Metaloglobus will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

12

R. Popa

Unirea Slobozia · G

8.3

Match Events

10'

Christ AfalnaPenalty confirmed

12'

R. EspinosaPenalty

19'

O. Safronov← I. Dinu

27'

Marian Lis

33'

Christ Afalna

45'

R. Espinosa↳ C. Afalna

46'

M. Abbey← B. Carvalho

47'

C. Afalna↳ J. Papeau

50'

Yassine Zakir

61'

A. Sava← R. Neacsu

61'

D. Ubbink← O. Pasagic

66'

V. Pop← V. Hamdiu

67'

A. Said← R. Espinosa

72'

B. Hadzic← D. Huiban

74'

Aboubacar Camara

77'

S. Visic← E. Fernandes

77'

86'

90+5'

90+5'

90+3'

90+5'

90+6'

90+1'

90'

90'

C. Barbut← R. Deaconu

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MetaloglobusUnirea

Overview

65%Possession35%

13Total Shots12

2.68Expected Goals (xG)2.73

7Corners3

16Fouls13

Shots

13Total Shots12

6On Target6

5Off Target4

2Blocked2

8Inside Box9

5Outside Box3

Passing

65%Possession35%

427Total Passes233

354Accurate Passes147

83%Pass Accuracy63%

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

Discipline

16Fouls13

6Yellow Cards4

1Red Cards0

Match Recap: Metaloglobus vs Unirea Slobozia

Unirea Slobozia beat Metaloglobus 3-2 in Liga I on December 20, 2025.

Goals: R. Espinosa (12' pen, 45'), C. Afalna (47'), Y. Zakir (77'), S. Visic (86').

Metaloglobus controlled possession (65%) and registered 13 shots to 12.

The match was played at Metaloglobus Stadium in Bucharest.

Metaloglobus vs Unirea Slobozia — Liga I 2026

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

Match Recap: Metaloglobus vs Unirea Slobozia