Menemen FK 1–1 Eyüpspor: Result & Stats | 1. Lig

Menemen FK

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Eyüpspor

Mohamed Sabbah 86'

P. Dibba 76'

9/26/2021

1. Lig · Round 7Menemen Şehir Stadı

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 52+ matches

Menemen FK31%

×Draw25%

Eyüpspor44%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side

Model

50.2%

Always home

44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.2% correct across 585,598 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Menemen FKExpected goals in this matchEyüpspor

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.23

1.52

Menemen FK

1.23

Eyüpspor

1.52

Eyüpspor creates 24% more chances

Season form · 52 home / 55 away

1.29

creates per match

1.51

1.54

allows per match

1.18

creates per match

Menemen FK

1.29

Eyüpspor

1.51

allows per match

Menemen FK

1.54

Eyüpspor

1.18

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Menemen FK+0.00on par

Eyüpspor+0.00on par

Total goals

Over52
Under48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes55
No45

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Menemen FK ↓

Eyüpspor →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–06%

0–110%

0–27%

0–34%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–112%

1–29%

1–35%

1–42%

2

2–05%

2–17%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–02%

3–13%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–01%

4–11%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

94%6%1.5

76%24%2.5

52%48%3.5

30%70%4.5

14%86%

Double chance

Menemen FK or draw

56%

Menemen FK or Eyüpspor

75%

Draw or Eyüpspor

69%

Winning margin

Menemen FK wins by 2+

13%

Eyüpspor wins by 2+

22%

Team goals

Menemen FK 1+ goals

71%

Menemen FK 2+ goals

35%

Menemen FK 3+ goals

13%

Eyüpspor 1+ goals

78%

Eyüpspor 2+ goals

45%

Eyüpspor 3+ goals

20%

Draw no bet

Menemen FK (draw refunded)

41%

Eyüpspor (draw refunded)

59%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

43%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Menemen FK at home — creates 1.29, concedes 1.54 · 52 matches

Eyüpspor away — creates 1.51, concedes 1.18 · 55 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Menemen FK attack 1.29 + Eyüpspor defence 1.18 → ÷2 → 1.23

Eyüpspor attack 1.51 + Menemen FK defence 1.54 → ÷2 → 1.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 44%?"

Menemen FK scores more

31%

level

25%

Eyüpspor scores more

44%

Eyüpspor at 44% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 44% does not mean "Eyüpspor will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Player of the match

1

B. Şen

Menemen FK · G

8.3

Match Events

10'

46'

50'

53'

62'

Z. Kožulj← Muhammed Akarslan

64'

67'

68'

73'

75'

76'

85'

Mohamed Sabbah← K. Paykoç

86'

Mohamed Sabbah

88'

Ersin Keskin

89'

Pa Dibba

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

MenemenEyüpspor

Overview

32%Possession68%

6Total Shots20

1Corners5

7Fouls14

Shots

6Total Shots20

1On Target11

3Off Target3

2Blocked6

5Inside Box16

1Outside Box4

Passing

32%Possession68%

250Total Passes521

167Accurate Passes421

67%Pass Accuracy81%

Goalkeeping

10Saves0

Discipline

7Fouls14

2Yellow Cards4

3Offsides0

1. Lig: Menemen FK 1–1 Eyüpspor

Menemen FK and Eyüpspor drew 1-1 in 1. Lig on September 26, 2021.

Goals: P. Dibba (76'), Mohamed Sabbah (86').

Eyüpspor controlled possession (68%) and registered 20 shots to 6.

The match was played at Menemen Şehir Stadı in Menemen.

Menemen FK vs Eyüpspor — 1. Lig 2018

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Player of the match

Match Events

Head to Head

Possession

Shots

Pass accuracy

Statistics

1. Lig: Menemen FK 1–1 Eyüpspor