Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Meerbusch U19 vs Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 — U19 Bundesliga 2019

Meerbusch U19
Meerbusch U19
FT
1 – 1
HT: 1 – 1
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
3/1/2025U19 BundesligaU19 Bundesliga · 2nd Phase Group B - 5Rasenplatz Lank

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 7+ matches

Meerbusch U1939%
×Draw22%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U1939%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 577,253 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.6% correct · Away picks 49.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Meerbusch U19
1.82
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
1.82

Both teams create about equally

Season form · 14 home / 7 away

creates per match

Meerbusch U19
1.21
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
0.71

allows per match

Meerbusch U19
2.93
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
2.43

finishing

Meerbusch U19+0.00on par
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19+0.00on par

Total goals

70%Over
  • Over70
  • Under30

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

70%Yes
  • Yes70
  • No30

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Meerbusch U19 ↓

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–03%
0–15%
0–24%
0–33%
0–41%
1
1–05%
1–19%
1–28%
1–35%
1–42%
2
2–04%
2–18%
2–27%
2–34%
2–42%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–24%
3–33%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–22%
4–31%
4–41%

Most likely 1–1 (9%) · grid covers 93% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
97%3%1.5
88%12%2.5
70%30%3.5
49%51%4.5
30%70%

Double chance

Meerbusch U19 or draw
61%
Meerbusch U19 or Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
78%
Draw or Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19
61%

Winning margin

Meerbusch U19 wins by 2+
20%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 wins by 2+
20%

Team goals

Meerbusch U19 1+ goals
84%
Meerbusch U19 2+ goals
54%
Meerbusch U19 3+ goals
27%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 1+ goals
84%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 2+ goals
54%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 3+ goals
27%

Draw no bet

Meerbusch U19 (draw refunded)
50%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 (draw refunded)
50%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
61%
Both score & under 3
9%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Meerbusch U19 at home — creates 1.21, concedes 2.93 · 14 matches

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 away — creates 0.71, concedes 2.43 · 7 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Meerbusch U19 attack 1.21 + Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 defence 2.43 → ÷2 → 1.82

Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 attack 0.71 + Meerbusch U19 defence 2.93 → ÷2 → 1.82

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 39%?"

Meerbusch U19 scores more
39%
level
22%
Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 scores more
39%

Meerbusch U19 at 39% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 39% does not mean "Meerbusch U19 will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Meerbusch U19 1 – 1 Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19

Meerbusch U19 and Blau-Weiß Königsdorf U19 drew 1-1 in U19 Bundesliga on March 1, 2025.

The match was played at Rasenplatz Lank in Meerbusch.