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Medeama vs Hohoe United — Premier League 2019

Medeama
Medeama
FT
1 – 2
HT: 0 – 0
Hohoe United
Hohoe United
3/8/2026Premier LeaguePremier League · Round 25TNA Park

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 13+ matches

Medeama56%
×Draw29%
Hohoe United15%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side
Model
49.7%
Always home
44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Medeama
1.29
Hohoe United
0.52

Medeama creates 148% more chances

Season form · 108 home / 13 away

creates per match

Medeama
1.44
Hohoe United
0.54

allows per match

Medeama
0.49
Hohoe United
1.15

finishing

Medeama+0.00on par
Hohoe United+0.00on par

Total goals

73%Under
  • Under73
  • Over27

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

71%No
  • No71
  • Yes29

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Medeama ↓

Hohoe United →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–016%
0–19%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–021%
1–111%
1–23%
1–30%
1–40%
2
2–014%
2–17%
2–22%
2–30%
2–40%
3
3–06%
3–13%
3–21%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–02%
4–11%
4–20%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (21%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
84%16%1.5
54%46%2.5
27%73%3.5
11%89%4.5
4%96%

Double chance

Medeama or draw
85%
Medeama or Hohoe United
71%
Draw or Hohoe United
44%

Winning margin

Medeama wins by 2+
27%
Hohoe United wins by 2+
3%

Team goals

Medeama 1+ goals
72%
Medeama 2+ goals
37%
Medeama 3+ goals
14%
Hohoe United 1+ goals
41%
Hohoe United 2+ goals
10%
Hohoe United 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Medeama (draw refunded)
79%
Hohoe United (draw refunded)
21%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
18%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Medeama at home — creates 1.44, concedes 0.49 · 108 matches

Hohoe United away — creates 0.54, concedes 1.15 · 13 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Medeama attack 1.44 + Hohoe United defence 1.15 → ÷2 → 1.29

Hohoe United attack 0.54 + Medeama defence 0.49 → ÷2 → 0.52

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 56%?"

Medeama scores more
56%
level
29%
Hohoe United scores more
15%

Medeama at 56% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 56% does not mean "Medeama will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Premier League: Medeama 1–2 Hohoe United

Hohoe United beat Medeama 2-1 in Premier League on March 8, 2026.

The match was played at TNA Park in Tarkwa.