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Masters FC vs Dedza Dynamos — Super League 2026

Masters FC
Masters FC
FT
4 – 0
HT: 2 – 0
Dedza Dynamos
Dedza Dynamos
H. Ndau 82' (pen), 54', 22'
E. Kaonga 30'
5/24/2026Super LeagueSuper League · Round 5

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 5+ matches

Masters FC63%
×Draw23%
Dedza Dynamos14%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Masters FC
1.75
Dedza Dynamos
0.69

Masters FC creates 154% more chances

Season form · 5 home / 65 away

creates per match

Masters FC
1.80
Dedza Dynamos
0.78

allows per match

Masters FC
0.60
Dedza Dynamos
1.69

finishing

Masters FC+0.00on par
Dedza Dynamos+0.00on par

Total goals

56%Under
  • Under56
  • Over44

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

59%No
  • No59
  • Yes41

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Masters FC ↓

Dedza Dynamos →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–09%
0–16%
0–22%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–015%
1–111%
1–24%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–013%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–08%
3–15%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–03%
4–12%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 97% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
91%9%1.5
70%30%2.5
44%56%3.5
23%77%4.5
10%90%

Double chance

Masters FC or draw
86%
Masters FC or Dedza Dynamos
77%
Draw or Dedza Dynamos
37%

Winning margin

Masters FC wins by 2+
36%
Dedza Dynamos wins by 2+
4%

Team goals

Masters FC 1+ goals
83%
Masters FC 2+ goals
52%
Masters FC 3+ goals
25%
Dedza Dynamos 1+ goals
50%
Dedza Dynamos 2+ goals
15%
Dedza Dynamos 3+ goals
3%

Draw no bet

Masters FC (draw refunded)
81%
Dedza Dynamos (draw refunded)
19%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Masters FC at home — creates 1.80, concedes 0.60 · 5 matches

Dedza Dynamos away — creates 0.78, concedes 1.69 · 65 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Masters FC attack 1.80 + Dedza Dynamos defence 1.69 → ÷2 → 1.75

Dedza Dynamos attack 0.78 + Masters FC defence 0.60 → ÷2 → 0.69

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 63%?"

Masters FC scores more
63%
level
23%
Dedza Dynamos scores more
14%

Masters FC at 63% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 63% does not mean "Masters FC will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

22'
H. Ndau
30'
E. Kaonga
54'
H. Ndau
82'
H. NdauPenalty

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Super League: Masters FC 4–0 Dedza Dynamos

Masters FC beat Dedza Dynamos 4-0 in Super League on May 24, 2026.

Goals: H. Ndau (22', 54', 82' pen), E. Kaonga (30').