Scoreo
FootballHockeyTennisBasketballVolleyballHandballBaseballRugbyMMAFormula 1

Masfut vs Al Jazira Al Hamra — Division 1 2018

Masfut
Masfut
FT
1 – 3
HT: 1 – 2
Al Jazira Al Hamra
Al Jazira Al Hamra
11/1/2025Division 1Division 1 · Round 6Stadium Mosque

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 73+ matches

Masfut42%
×Draw24%
Al Jazira Al Hamra34%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50.3%
Always home
44.5%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50.3% correct across 582,450 matches, vs 44.5% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.5% correct · Away picks 49.5% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Masfut
1.61
Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.42

Masfut creates 13% more chances

Season form · 100 home / 73 away

creates per match

Masfut
1.18
Al Jazira Al Hamra
1.32

allows per match

Masfut
1.52
Al Jazira Al Hamra
2.04

finishing

Masfut+0.00on par
Al Jazira Al Hamra+0.00on par

Total goals

58%Over
  • Over58
  • Under42

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

61%Yes
  • Yes61
  • No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Masfut ↓

Al Jazira Al Hamra →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–05%
0–17%
0–25%
0–32%
0–41%
1
1–08%
1–111%
1–28%
1–34%
1–41%
2
2–06%
2–19%
2–26%
2–33%
2–41%
3
3–03%
3–15%
3–23%
3–32%
3–41%
4
4–01%
4–12%
4–21%
4–31%
4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
95%5%1.5
80%20%2.5
58%42%3.5
36%64%4.5
19%81%

Double chance

Masfut or draw
66%
Masfut or Al Jazira Al Hamra
76%
Draw or Al Jazira Al Hamra
58%

Winning margin

Masfut wins by 2+
21%
Al Jazira Al Hamra wins by 2+
15%

Team goals

Masfut 1+ goals
80%
Masfut 2+ goals
48%
Masfut 3+ goals
22%
Al Jazira Al Hamra 1+ goals
76%
Al Jazira Al Hamra 2+ goals
41%
Al Jazira Al Hamra 3+ goals
17%

Draw no bet

Masfut (draw refunded)
55%
Al Jazira Al Hamra (draw refunded)
45%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
50%
Both score & under 3
11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Masfut at home — creates 1.18, concedes 1.52 · 100 matches

Al Jazira Al Hamra away — creates 1.32, concedes 2.04 · 73 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Masfut attack 1.18 + Al Jazira Al Hamra defence 2.04 → ÷2 → 1.61

Al Jazira Al Hamra attack 1.32 + Masfut defence 1.52 → ÷2 → 1.42

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 42%?"

Masfut scores more
42%
level
24%
Al Jazira Al Hamra scores more
34%

Masfut at 42% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 42% does not mean "Masfut will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Masfut vs Al Jazira Al Hamra

Al Jazira Al Hamra beat Masfut 3-1 in Division 1 on November 1, 2025.

The match was played at Stadium Mosque in Masfout.