Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
61%
Over
39%
Under
Both Score
63%
Yes
37%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-1
8%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Marseille
xG 2.03 · xGA 1.22
+0.38 vs xG
Paris Saint Germain
xG 2 · xGA 1.09
-0.06 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Sep 22, 2025, 6:00 PM
- Tournament
- Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5
- Referee
- Jérôme Brisard (France)
- Venue
- Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Marseille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53370%
- Under 2.51430%
Both teams scored
- Yes2553%
- No2247%
Paris Saint Germain
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53764%
- Under 2.52136%
Both teams scored
- Yes2848%
- No3052%
Match Events
Marseille substitutes
Head to Head
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Strasbourg
Lorient
Toulouse
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Rodez
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Marseille host Paris Saint Germain on Monday, 22 September 2025 at 18:00. The match is part of the Ligue 1 2026/2027 season.
Ligue 1: Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint Germain
Marseille beat Paris Saint Germain 1-0 in Ligue 1 on September 22, 2025.
Goals: Marquinhos (5' o.g.).
Paris Saint Germain controlled possession (68%) and registered 12 shots to 9.
The match was played at Orange Vélodrome in Marseille.