Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
55%
Over
45%
Under
Both Score
56%
Yes
44%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Marseille
xG 2.03 · xGA 1.22
+0.38 vs xG
Nantes
xG 1.06 · xGA 1.47
-0.41 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Jan 4, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Tournament
- Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17
- Referee
- M. Bollengier
- Venue
- Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Marseille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53370%
- Under 2.51430%
Both teams scored
- Yes2553%
- No2247%
Nantes
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.51646%
- Under 2.51954%
Both teams scored
- Yes1749%
- No1851%
Match Events
Head to Head
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Rennes
Monaco
Strasbourg
Lorient
Toulouse
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Nice
Le Havre
Auxerre
Nantes
Metz
Rodez
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Marseille host Nantes on Sunday, 4 January 2026 at 14:00. The match is part of the Ligue 1 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Marseille vs Nantes
Nantes beat Marseille 2-0 in Ligue 1 on January 4, 2026.
Goals: F. Centonze (31'), R. Cabella (88' pen).
Marseille controlled possession (56%) and registered 11 shots to 15.
The match was played at Orange Vélodrome in Marseille.