Statistical Prediction
Based on xG from last 17+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
57%
Over
43%
Under
Both Score
59%
Yes
41%
No
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11%
2-1
10%
1-0
9%
xG Profile (17 home / 17 away matches)
Marseille
xG 2.03 · xGA 1.22
+0.38 vs xG
Lyon
xG 1.27 · xGA 1.46
+0.08 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
Marseille vs Lyon — Ligue 1 2026
- Date
- Mar 1, 2026, 7:45 PM
- Tournament
- Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24
- Referee
- J. Brisard
- Venue
- Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Marseille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53370%
- Under 2.51430%
Both teams scored
- Yes2553%
- No2247%
Lyon
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52553%
- Under 2.52247%
Both teams scored
- Yes2349%
- No2451%
Match Events

Head to Head
If points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Marseille host Lyon on Sunday, 1 March 2026 at 19:45. The match is part of the Ligue 1 2026/2027 season.
Marseille 3 – 2 Lyon
Marseille beat Lyon 3-2 in Ligue 1 on March 1, 2026.
Goals: C. Tolisso (3'), I. Paixao (52'), R. Himbert (76'), P. Aubameyang (81', 90').
Marseille controlled possession (52%) and registered 18 shots to 12.
The match was played at Orange Vélodrome in Marseille.
























