Statistical Prediction
Based on goals from last 4+ matches
Over / Under 2.5
72%
Over
28%
Under
Both Score
69%
Yes
31%
No
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9%
1-1
8%
3-1
7%
xG Profile (4 home / 4 away matches)
Marseille
xG 1.5 · xGA 1.25
+0 vs xG
Ajax
xG 1.75 · xGA 3
+0 vs xG
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.
- Date
- Sep 30, 2025, 7:00 PM
- Tournament
- UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 2
- Referee
- A. Taylor
- Venue
- Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Season form
Both teams' recent trends — not a prediction for this match.
Marseille
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.53370%
- Under 2.51430%
Both teams scored
- Yes2553%
- No2247%
Ajax
Over / Under 2.5
- Over 2.52865%
- Under 2.51535%
Both teams scored
- Yes2865%
- No1535%
Match Events
Head to Head
Arsenal
Bayern München
Liverpool
Tottenham
Barcelona
Chelsea
Sporting CP
Manchester City
Real Madrid
Inter
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
Juventus
Atletico Madrid
Atalanta
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Olympiakos Piraeus
Club Brugge KV
Galatasaray
Monaco
Qarabag
Bodo/Glimt
Benfica
Marseille
Pafos
Union St. Gilloise
PSV Eindhoven
Athletic Club
Napoli
FC Copenhagen
Ajax
Eintracht Frankfurt
Slavia Praha
Villarreal
Kairat AlmatyIf points are equal: 1. Goal difference 2. Goals scored 3. Head-to-head
P = Played · W = Won · D = Drawn · L = Lost · GF = Goals for · GA = Goals against · GD = Goal difference · Pts = Points
Possession
Shots
Pass accuracy
Statistics
Marseille host Ajax on Tuesday, 30 September 2025 at 19:00. The match is part of the UEFA Champions League 2026/2027 season.
Match Recap: Marseille vs Ajax
Marseille beat Ajax 4-0 in UEFA Champions League on September 30, 2025.
Goals: I. Paixao (6', 12'), M. Greenwood (26'), P. Aubameyang (52').
Ajax controlled possession (52%) and registered 13 shots to 9.
The match was played at Orange Vélodrome in Marseille.