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Silver Strikers vs TN Stars — Super League 2026

Silver Strikers
Silver Strikers
FT
4 – 0
TN Stars
TN Stars
4/5/2021Super LeagueSuper League · Round 8Silver Stadium

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 32+ matches

Silver Strikers72%
×Draw18%
TN Stars9%
✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 5 more than always backing the home side
Model
50%
Always home
44.6%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 50% correct across 579,794 matches, vs 44.6% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.2% correct · Away picks 49.2% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

Silver Strikers
2.11
TN Stars
0.60

Silver Strikers creates 252% more chances

Season form · 82 home / 32 away

creates per match

Silver Strikers
2.00
TN Stars
0.59

allows per match

Silver Strikers
0.62
TN Stars
2.22

finishing

Silver Strikers+0.00on par
TN Stars+0.00on par

Total goals

51%Over
  • Over51
  • Under49

Close call

Both teams score

60%No
  • No60
  • Yes40

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Silver Strikers ↓

TN Stars →
0
1
2
3
4
0
0–07%
0–14%
0–21%
0–30%
0–40%
1
1–014%
1–18%
1–23%
1–31%
1–40%
2
2–015%
2–19%
2–23%
2–31%
2–40%
3
3–010%
3–16%
3–22%
3–30%
3–40%
4
4–06%
4–13%
4–21%
4–30%
4–40%

Most likely 2–0 (15%) · grid covers 94% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5
93%7%1.5
75%25%2.5
51%49%3.5
28%72%4.5
13%87%

Double chance

Silver Strikers or draw
91%
Silver Strikers or TN Stars
82%
Draw or TN Stars
28%

Winning margin

Silver Strikers wins by 2+
47%
TN Stars wins by 2+
2%

Team goals

Silver Strikers 1+ goals
88%
Silver Strikers 2+ goals
62%
Silver Strikers 3+ goals
35%
TN Stars 1+ goals
45%
TN Stars 2+ goals
12%
TN Stars 3+ goals
2%

Draw no bet

Silver Strikers (draw refunded)
89%
TN Stars (draw refunded)
11%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals
31%
Both score & under 3
8%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Silver Strikers at home — creates 2.00, concedes 0.62 · 82 matches

TN Stars away — creates 0.59, concedes 2.22 · 32 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Silver Strikers attack 2.00 + TN Stars defence 2.22 → ÷2 → 2.11

TN Stars attack 0.59 + Silver Strikers defence 0.62 → ÷2 → 0.60

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 72%?"

Silver Strikers scores more
72%
level
18%
TN Stars scores more
9%

Silver Strikers at 72% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

  • injuries & suspensions
  • the matchday lineup
  • motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
  • weather & pitch condition
  • in-game coaching decisions

So 72% does not mean "Silver Strikers will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff

Match Recap: Silver Strikers vs TN Stars

Silver Strikers beat TN Stars 4-0 in Super League on April 5, 2021.

The match was played at Silver Stadium in Lilongwe.