Manresa 0–0 Prat: Result & Stats

Manresa

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Prat

9/21/2024

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 · Group 5 - 3Estadio El Congost

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 34+ matches

Manresa45%

×Draw29%

Prat26%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

ManresaExpected goals in this matchPrat

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.26

0.89

Manresa

1.26

Prat

0.89

Manresa creates 42% more chances

Season form · 77 home / 34 away

1.23

creates per match

1.00

0.78

allows per match

1.29

creates per match

Manresa

1.23

Prat

1.00

allows per match

Manresa

0.78

Prat

1.29

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Manresa+0.00on par

Prat+0.00on par

Total goals

Under64
Over36

Fewer than 3 goals likely

Both teams score

No58
Yes42

One side may not score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Manresa ↓

Prat →

0–012%

0–110%

0–25%

0–31%

0–40%

1–015%

1–113%

1–26%

1–32%

1–40%

2–09%

2–18%

2–24%

2–31%

2–40%

3–04%

3–13%

3–22%

3–30%

3–40%

4–01%

4–11%

4–20%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–0 (15%) · grid covers 99% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

88%12%1.5

63%37%2.5

36%64%3.5

17%83%4.5

7%93%

Double chance

Manresa or draw

74%

Manresa or Prat

71%

Draw or Prat

55%

Winning margin

Manresa wins by 2+

20%

Prat wins by 2+

Team goals

Manresa 1+ goals

72%

Manresa 2+ goals

36%

Manresa 3+ goals

13%

Prat 1+ goals

59%

Prat 2+ goals

22%

Prat 3+ goals

Draw no bet

Manresa (draw refunded)

63%

Prat (draw refunded)

37%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

29%

Both score & under 3

13%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

Recent form of each side

Manresa at home — creates 1.23, concedes 0.78 · 77 matches

Prat away — creates 1.00, concedes 1.29 · 34 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

Expected goals for this match

Manresa attack 1.23 + Prat defence 1.29 → ÷2 → 1.26

Prat attack 1.00 + Manresa defence 0.78 → ÷2 → 0.89

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

The answer to "why 45%?"

Manresa scores more

45%

level

29%

Prat scores more

26%

Manresa at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Manresa will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Match Events

58'

Julen Álvarez← Álex Sánchez

63'

Iván de la Peña← Antonio Romero

63'

David Batanero← Jaime Márquez

63'

Isa Drammeh← Tom Diawara

75'

Alex Plaza← Javier García

75'

Lamelas← Daniel Molina

75'

Pol Moles← A. Kerobyan

83'

Xavier Samper← Sergi Benítez

83'

Marc Cuello← Nil Garrido

Manresa

Prat

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

▼

Manager: Mikel Azparren

63'▲Iván de la Peña←▼Antonio Romero

63'▲David Batanero←▼Jaime Márquez

63'▲Isa Drammeh←▼Tom Diawara

83'▲Xavier Samper←▼Sergi Benítez

83'▲Marc Cuello←▼Nil Garrido

Manresa substitutes

PeñaBataneroDrammehSamperCuello

Manager: Miguel Ángel Motoso

58'▲Julen Álvarez←▼Álex Sánchez

75'▲Alex Plaza←▼Javier García

75'▲Lamelas←▼Daniel Molina

75'▲Pol Moles←▼A. Kerobyan

Prat substitutes

ÁlvarezPlazaLamelasMoles

Match Recap: Manresa vs Prat

Manresa and Prat drew 0-0 in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 on September 21, 2024.

The match was played at Estadio El Congost in Manresa.

Manresa vs Prat — Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 2019

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Total goals

Both teams score

Match Events

Head to Head

Match Recap: Manresa vs Prat