Malženice 0–0 Lokomotíva Zvolen: Result & Stats

Malženice

FT

0 – 0

HT: 0 – 0

Lokomotíva Zvolen

4/26/2026

2. liga · Round 27Obecny futbalovy stadion Malzenice

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 30+ matches

Malženice46%

×Draw26%

Lokomotíva Zvolen28%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MalženiceExpected goals in this matchLokomotíva Zvolen

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.48

1.11

Malženice

1.48

Lokomotíva Zvolen

1.11

Malženice creates 33% more chances

Season form · 43 home / 30 away

1.49

creates per match

1.17

1.05

allows per match

1.47

creates per match

Malženice

1.49

Lokomotíva Zvolen

1.17

allows per match

Malženice

1.05

Lokomotíva Zvolen

1.47

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Malženice+0.00on par

Lokomotíva Zvolen+0.00on par

Total goals

Under52
Over48

Close call

Both teams score

Yes52
No48

Close call

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Malženice ↓

Lokomotíva Zvolen →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–08%

0–18%

0–25%

0–32%

0–40%

1

1–011%

1–112%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–08%

2–19%

2–25%

2–32%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–22%

3–31%

3–40%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–30%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (12%) · grid covers 98% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

92%8%1.5

73%27%2.5

48%52%3.5

26%74%4.5

12%88%

Double chance

Malženice or draw

72%

Malženice or Lokomotíva Zvolen

74%

Draw or Lokomotíva Zvolen

54%

Winning margin

Malženice wins by 2+

23%

Lokomotíva Zvolen wins by 2+

11%

Team goals

Malženice 1+ goals

77%

Malženice 2+ goals

43%

Malženice 3+ goals

19%

Lokomotíva Zvolen 1+ goals

67%

Lokomotíva Zvolen 2+ goals

30%

Lokomotíva Zvolen 3+ goals

10%

Draw no bet

Malženice (draw refunded)

62%

Lokomotíva Zvolen (draw refunded)

38%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

39%

Both score & under 3

12%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Malženice at home — creates 1.49, concedes 1.05 · 43 matches

Lokomotíva Zvolen away — creates 1.17, concedes 1.47 · 30 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Malženice attack 1.49 + Lokomotíva Zvolen defence 1.47 → ÷2 → 1.48

Lokomotíva Zvolen attack 1.17 + Malženice defence 1.05 → ÷2 → 1.11

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 46%?"

Malženice scores more

46%

level

26%

Lokomotíva Zvolen scores more

28%

Malženice at 46% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 46% does not mean "Malženice will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff