Majd 1–1 Dubai City: Result & Stats | Division 1

Majd

FT

1 – 1

HT: 0 – 0

Dubai City

12/26/2025

Division 1 · Round 11

Match Prediction

Statistical Prediction

Based on goals from last 27+ matches

Majd45%

×Draw24%

Dubai City31%

✓ Correct in 50 of 100 matches — 6 more than always backing the home side

Model

49.7%

Always home

44.3%

The model picks a winner (home or away) for each finished match using only pre-kickoff data, then checks it against the real result: 49.7% correct across 106,786 matches, vs 44.3% for always backing the home side.

Home picks 50.7% correct · Away picks 47.3% correct

Football matches only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

MajdExpected goals in this matchDubai City

Expected goals in this match

What is xG?

Every shot is scored 0–1 by how likely it is to be a goal from that spot — a chance in the middle of the box ≈ 0.4, a long shot from a tight angle ≈ 0.03, a penalty ≈ 0.76. Add them up over a match and that is the xG.

The scoreline can lie: you can win 1-0 on a fluke while creating half the chances. xG shows who was really closer to scoring — and over a season it predicts results better than goals alone.

1.69

1.36

Majd

1.69

Dubai City

1.36

Majd creates 24% more chances

Season form · 27 home / 60 away

1.11

creates per match

0.98

1.74

allows per match

2.28

creates per match

Majd

1.11

Dubai City

0.98

allows per match

Majd

1.74

Dubai City

2.28

+0.00on par

finishing

+0.00on par

finishing

Majd+0.00on par

Dubai City+0.00on par

Total goals

Over59
Under41

3+ goals likely

Both teams score

Yes61
No39

Both teams likely to score

Score probability

Probability of each scoreline, %

Majd ↓

Dubai City →

0

1

2

3

4

0

0–05%

0–16%

0–24%

0–32%

0–41%

1

1–08%

1–111%

1–27%

1–33%

1–41%

2

2–07%

2–19%

2–26%

2–33%

2–41%

3

3–04%

3–15%

3–24%

3–32%

3–41%

4

4–02%

4–12%

4–21%

4–31%

4–40%

Most likely 1–1 (11%) · grid covers 96% of scorelines

More markets

Total goals

OverUnder0.5

95%5%1.5

81%19%2.5

59%41%3.5

36%64%4.5

19%81%

Double chance

Majd or draw

69%

Majd or Dubai City

76%

Draw or Dubai City

55%

Winning margin

Majd wins by 2+

24%

Dubai City wins by 2+

14%

Team goals

Majd 1+ goals

82%

Majd 2+ goals

50%

Majd 3+ goals

24%

Dubai City 1+ goals

74%

Dubai City 2+ goals

39%

Dubai City 3+ goals

16%

Draw no bet

Majd (draw refunded)

59%

Dubai City (draw refunded)

41%

Combos

Both score & 3+ goals

50%

Both score & under 3

11%

Model probabilities, not odds. For information only.

How is this calculated?

Every number below comes from this match — nothing is made up.

1

Recent form of each side

Majd at home — creates 1.11, concedes 1.74 · 27 matches

Dubai City away — creates 0.98, concedes 2.28 · 60 matches

⚑ Home and away form are counted separately — the home-field edge is already baked into these numbers.

2

Expected goals for this match

Majd attack 1.11 + Dubai City defence 2.28 → ÷2 → 1.69

Dubai City attack 0.98 + Majd defence 1.74 → ÷2 → 1.36

Each side's attack is blended with the other's defence, then averaged.

3

Chance of every scoreline

From those two numbers a Poisson distribution gives the probability of each exact score — the grid shown above.

4

The answer to "why 45%?"

Majd scores more

45%

level

24%

Dubai City scores more

31%

Majd at 45% is simply the biggest of the three — that is the pick.

What the model can't see

It reads only the stats of recent matches. It knows nothing about:

injuries & suspensions
the matchday lineup
motivation — cup, relegation, a title race
weather & pitch condition
in-game coaching decisions

So 45% does not mean "Majd will win" — it means "on the available stats, this is the most likely result."

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG). For informational purposes only.

Probable lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed ~1 hour before kickoff